Eurovision Song Contest 2022 Grand Final Extended Voting Analysis

Host country: Italy (RAI)
Venue: PalaOlimpico, Turin, Italy
Hosts: Laura Pausini, Alessandro Cattelan, Mika
Date: Saturday 14 May 2022

My main Eurovision Song Contest 2022 Grand Final review, including the opening act, songs, interval acts, jury voting and announcement of the televoting results is available here. This supplement is intended to be read in addition to, and not instead of, that report.

N.B. Any use of “tonight” or “this evening” throughout this post means Saturday 14 May 2022. Any use of “Tuesday” means Tuesday 10 May 2022, whereas any reference to “Thursday” means Thursday 12 May 2022. Any use of “this year” means 2022, whereas “next year” means 2023. All times in this post are in BST.

To make this report easier to read, I've split it into sections. Click the applicable link below to jump to the section you want to read:

Winner and Top Marks
Country Groups
Alternative Voting Presentation
Conclusion

Winner and Top Marks

Points Levels to Winner

Jury Voting

The 8 countries which awarded 12 jury points to the United Kingdom (which won the jury vote and finished second overall) were: Austria, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Czech Republic, France, Georgia, Germany, Ukraine. 27 other countries gave between 1 and 10 jury points to the United Kingdom. Interestingly the United Kingdom received at least one of each 1 to 10 points level on the jury voting. 4 countries (other than the United Kingdom itself) gave no jury points at all to the United Kingdom, those being Armenia, Australia, Croatia, Greece.

The 5 countries which awarded 12 jury points to Ukraine (which finished fourth in the jury vote and was the overall winner) were: Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, Romania. 21 other countries gave between 1 and 10 jury points to Ukraine. Interestingly, Ukraine received no 1-point scores on the jury voting. 13 countries (other than Ukraine itself) gave no jury points at all to Ukraine, those being Austria, Bulgaria, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Italy, Malta, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

The number of times the United Kingdom and Ukraine received each particular points level (or no points at all) from the other juries is summarised in the following table:

Points level	Jury to United Kingdom	United Kingdom Pts	Jury to Ukraine	Ukraine Pts
0	4	0	13	0
1	1	1	0	0
2	1	2	1	2
3	2	6	3	9
4	2	8	1	4
5	1	5	1	5
6	4	24	5	30
7	1	7	4	28
8	8	64	3	24
10	7	70	3	30
12	8	96	5	60
TOTAL	39	283	39	192

Televoting

The United Kingdom, which finished fifth with 183 points in the televote (but won the jury vote and finished second overall) received 12 televote points from just 1 other country, that being Malta. 33 other countries gave between 1 and 10 televote points to the United Kingdom. Interestingly the United Kingdom received at least one of each 1 to 10 points level on televoting. 5 countries (other than the United Kingdom itself) gave no televote points at all to the United Kingdom, those being Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Serbia, Slovenia.

Ukraine, which won the televote and was the overall winner, received points from all the other 39 countries on televoting. The 28 countries which awarded 12 televote points to Ukraine were: Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, San Marino, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. That alone amounted to 336 out of the 439 televote points which Ukraine received. 8 countries gave 10 televote points to Ukraine; those were Albania, Armenia, Croatia, Greece, Montenegro, Romania, Slovenia, Switzerland. 2 countries, Malta and North Macedonia, gave 8 televote points to Ukraine. The lowest individual televote score which Ukraine received was 7 televote points from Serbia.

The number of times the United Kingdom and Ukraine received each particular points level (or no points at all) in the televoting is summarised in the following table:

Points level	Tele to United Kingdom	United Kingdom Pts	Tele to Ukraine	Ukraine Pts
0	5	0	0	0
1	1	1	0	0
2	2	4	0	0
3	6	18	0	0
4	4	16	0	0
5	3	15	0	0
6	9	54	0	0
7	3	21	1	7
8	4	32	2	16
10	1	10	8	80
12	1	12	28	336
TOTAL	39	183	39	439

Number of 12s Received

Jury Voting

9 of the 25 finalists received at least one 12-point vote from the juries. The number of 12-point votes received by each of those 9 countries from the juries is shown in the table below.

12 Points to	No of 12s Received	Total From 12s
Spain	8	96
United Kingdom	8	96
Greece	6	72
Sweden	5	60
Ukraine	5	60
Azerbaijan	3	36
Italy	2	24
Serbia	2	24
Netherlands	1	12

Notice that the highest number of 12-point scores (8 altogether) was received by both Spain (which finished third in the jury vote and third overall) and United Kingdom (jury vote winner and second overall). Greece, which finished sixth in the jury vote and eighth overall, received the second highest number of 12-point scores (6 altogether). Sweden (second in the jury vote and fourth overall) and Ukraine (fourth in the jury vote and overall winner) both received the third highest number of 12-point scores (5 each). Thus, the overall winner didn’t receive the highest number of 12-point scores from the juries. Azerbaijan received the fourth highest number of 12-point scores (3 altogether), but finished just tenth in the jury vote and sixteenth overall. Italy and Serbia each received two 12-point scores, but of those, Italy finished seventh in the jury vote and Serbia finished eleventh in the jury vote. This shows that two 12-point jury scores wasn’t enough to guarantee a top ten placing in the jury voting.

Televoting

8 of the 25 finalists received at least one 12-point vote from the televoting. The number of 12-point votes received by each of those 8 countries in the televoting is shown in the table below.

12 Points to	No of 12s Received	Total From 12s
Ukraine	28	336
Serbia	5	60
Moldova	2	24
Estonia	1	12
Greece	1	12
Poland	1	12
Spain	1	12
United Kingdom	1	12

Here, the country which received the highest number of 12-point scores (28 altogether) is clearly obvious: Ukraine. It’s hardly surprising Ukraine won the televote and overall by a landslide; the 336 televote points they received from that many 12-point scores amounted to over three quarters of their overall televote total of 439 points, and over half their overall total of 631 points. With 40 countries voting, and 28 sets of 12-point scores allocated to just one finalist, that left just 12 sets of 12-point scores for other finalists. Serbia received the second highest number of 12-point scores (5 altogether), but finished fourth in the televote and fifth overall. Moldova, which finished second in the televote (and seventh overall) received just 2 sets of 12-point scores. Five countries (Estonia, Greece, Poland, Spain, United Kingdom) each received just one 12-point score in the televoting. Of those, Estonia, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom all placed inside the top ten of the televote, whereas Greece finished twelfth in the televote. Clearly one 12-point televote score wasn't enough to guarantee a top 10 place in the televoting.

All 12 Points

Jury Voting

The complete list of 12 jury point scores, and jury points awarded to the United Kingdom (jury vote winner and second place overall) and Ukraine (jury vote fourth place and overall winner) is shown below.

#	From Country	12 Points to	United Kingdom	Ukraine
6	Albania	Italy	10	7
26	Armenia	Spain	0	6
38	Australia	Spain	0	7
34	Austria	United Kingdom	12	0
8	Azerbaijan	United Kingdom	12	6
11	Belgium	United Kingdom	12	6
17	Bulgaria	Greece	10	0
32	Croatia	Serbia	0	8
20	Cyprus	Greece	3	7
39	Czech Republic	United Kingdom	12	4
24	Denmark	Greece	6	5
7	Estonia	Sweden	4	0
35	Finland	Sweden	10	0
25	France	United Kingdom	12	10
31	Georgia	United Kingdom	12	6
10	Germany	United Kingdom	12	10
15	Greece	Azerbaijan	0	0
19	Iceland	Sweden	7	10
29	Ireland	Spain	8	3
13	Israel	Sweden	10	7
40	Italy	Netherlands	6	0
21	Latvia	Ukraine	8	12
33	Lithuania	Ukraine	10	12
4	Malta	Spain	8	0
16	Moldova	Ukraine	10	12
27	Montenegro	Serbia	5	6
1	Netherlands	Greece	4	0
3	North Macedonia	Spain	8	0
12	Norway	Greece	6	3
14	Poland	Ukraine	8	12
9	Portugal	Spain	10	8
28	Romania	Ukraine	8	12
2	San Marino	Spain	8	2
18	Serbia	Azerbaijan	1	0
30	Slovenia	Italy	2	8
22	Spain	Azerbaijan	3	0
37	Sweden	Spain	8	0
23	Switzerland	Greece	6	3
5	Ukraine	United Kingdom	12	n/a
36	United Kingdom	Sweden	n/a	0
	TOTAL		283	192

Televoting

The complete list of 12 televote point scores, and televote points awarded to the United Kingdom (televote fifth place and second place overall) and Ukraine (televote winner and overall winner) is shown below.

From Country	12 Points to	United Kingdom	Ukraine
Albania	Greece	4	10
Armenia	Estonia	1	10
Australia	Ukraine	7	12
Austria	Ukraine	8	12
Azerbaijan	Ukraine	8	12
Belgium	Ukraine	3	12
Bulgaria	Ukraine	3	12
Croatia	Serbia	0	10
Cyprus	Ukraine	6	12
Czech Republic	Ukraine	2	12
Denmark	Ukraine	6	12
Estonia	Ukraine	5	12
Finland	Ukraine	4	12
France	Ukraine	2	12
Georgia	Ukraine	4	12
Germany	Ukraine	6	12
Greece	Spain	5	10
Iceland	Ukraine	7	12
Ireland	Ukraine	6	12
Israel	Ukraine	10	12
Italy	Ukraine	6	12
Latvia	Ukraine	3	12
Lithuania	Ukraine	4	12
Malta	United Kingdom	12	8
Moldova	Ukraine	3	12
Montenegro	Serbia	0	10
Netherlands	Ukraine	8	12
North Macedonia	Serbia	0	8
Norway	Ukraine	6	12
Poland	Ukraine	3	12
Portugal	Ukraine	6	12
Romania	Moldova	3	10
San Marino	Ukraine	6	12
Serbia	Moldova	0	7
Slovenia	Serbia	0	10
Spain	Ukraine	8	12
Sweden	Ukraine	6	12
Switzerland	Serbia	5	10
Ukraine	Poland	7	n/a
United Kingdom	Ukraine	n/a	12
TOTAL		183	439

24 Points

Obviously, the maximum combined score a country can give to, or receive from another country is 24 points, that being 12 jury points and 12 televoting points. 6 of the 40 voting countries gave their 12 jury points and 12 televoting points to the same finalist, those being:

From Country	12+12 Points to
Croatia	Serbia
Latvia	Ukraine
Lithuania	Ukraine
Moldova	Ukraine
Montenegro	Serbia
Poland	Ukraine

As a result, just 2 countries (Serbia and Ukraine) received at least one set of 12 jury points + 12 televoting points. The number of 12 jury points + 12 televoting points received by those 2 receiving countries is summarised in the table below.

12+12 Points to	No of 24s Received	Total from 24s
Serbia	2	48
Ukraine	4	96
	6	144

It’s hardly surprising that Ukraine, which won both the televote and overall by a landslide, received 4 sets of 12 jury points + 12 televoting points.

Back to the top

Country Groups

Now for a look at points awarded within certain groups of countries. N.B. In the following tables, boxes for a particular country to itself (e.g., from Finland to Finland) are marked “n/a” rather than 0, as no country can vote for itself.

Nordic Area

Four of the five Nordic countries (Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden) qualified for the Grand Final this year, but all five Nordic countries voted in the final as follows. Denmark, which was eliminated in the semi-finals, could only give and not receive points this time.

Jury Voting

From Country	Jury to Finland	Jury to Iceland	Jury to Norway	Jury to Sweden
Denmark	0	1	0	7
Finland	n/a	0	4	12
Iceland	0	n/a	8	12
Norway	0	0	n/a	8
Sweden	0	0	3	n/a
Group Total	0	1	15	39
Overall Jury Total	12	10	36	258
% of Jury Total	0.00%	10.00%	41.67%	15.12%

The way in which the five Nordic countries awarded (or didn't award) jury points to the four Nordic finalists is interesting (of course Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden could not vote for themselves). Sweden was the only country to receive jury points from all the other countries within this group. This blew out of the window anyone’s expectation that all four Nordic finalists would receive jury points from every other Nordic country. Furthermore, Sweden received the highest number of jury points from within this group (39 jury points), but that was just 15.12% of its jury total (258 jury points). This meant the remaining 219 jury points, which Sweden received, had to come from outside this group. The country which received the highest percentage of its overall jury total, from within this group was Norway, because the 15 jury points Norway received within this group was 41.67% of the 36 jury points Norway received altogether. That said, nearly three fifths of Norway’s jury points still had to come from outside this group. Interestingly Norway’s overall jury total (36 jury points) was less than Sweden received just within this group (39 jury points).

Finland received no jury points at all from other members of this group, hence all its jury points (12 altogether) had to come from outside this group. Iceland received just 1 jury point within this group, but that amounted to a tenth of its overall jury score of 10 jury points. Thus, the remaining 9 jury points (amounting to nine tenths of its jury total) which Iceland received had to come from outside this group.

Televoting

From Country	Tele to Finland	Tele to Iceland	Tele to Norway	Tele to Sweden
Denmark	0	2	8	10
Finland	n/a	0	6	8
Iceland	0	n/a	10	8
Norway	0	0	n/a	8
Sweden	7	0	10	n/a
Group Total	7	2	34	34
Overall Tele Total	26	10	146	180
% of Tele Total	26.92%	20.00%	23.29%	18.89%

There were more exchanges of points within this group on televoting, but on this occasion, there were no exchanges of 12 televote points within this group. As it happened, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden each gave their 12 televote points to Ukraine, which was hardly surprising under the current circumstances. Norway and Sweden were the only two finalists to receive televote points from every other country within this group. This blew out of the window anyone’s expectation that all four Nordic finalists would receive televote points from every other Nordic country. Although Norway received two 10-point scores within this group, whereas Sweden received just one 10-point score within this group, Norway and Sweden each received 34 televote points within this group. However, because Sweden ended up with a higher overall televote score than Norway, Sweden received a lower percentage of its overall televote score than Norway within this group. Clearly, Norway and Sweden had to get the majority of their televote points from outside this group.

Baltic States (Ex USSR)

Two members of this group, Estonia and Lithuania, qualified for the Grand Final. The one remaining member, Latvia, failed to qualify. The upshot of this was that Latvia was able to give jury and televoting points to Estonia and Lithuania, and that Estonia and Lithuania were able to give each other jury and televoting points. However, neither Estonia nor Lithuania could give points to Latvia.

Jury Voting

From Country	Jury to Estonia	Jury to Lithuania
Estonia	n/a	2
Latvia	0	1
Lithuania	0	n/a
Group Total	0	3
Overall Jury Total	43	35
% of Jury Total	0.00%	8.57%

As can be seen, Lithuania received very low jury scores from Estonia and Latvia. The resulting total of 3 jury points, which Lithuania received within this group, was less than a tenth of the 35 jury points that Lithuania received altogether. Thus, the majority of the jury points which Lithuania received had to come from outside this group. Estonia received no jury points at all within this group; hence all its 43 jury points had to come from outside the Baltic area. Interestingly Estonia ended up with a higher overall jury score than Lithuania, despite Estonia receiving no jury points within this group and Lithuania receiving 3 jury points within this group. All this blew anyone’s expectation that Estonia and Lithuania would give each other 12 jury points, and that Latvia would give its top two jury points to Estonia and Lithuania. Likewise, this blew anyone’s expectation that Estonia and Lithuania would both receive high jury scores from the other two members of this group.

Televoting

From Country	Tele to Estonia	Tele to Lithuania
Estonia	n/a	7
Latvia	8	10
Lithuania	8	n/a
Group Total	16	17
Overall Tele Total	98	93
% of Tele Total	16.33%	18.28%

Estonia and Lithuania both fared considerably better within this group on televoting. Both of them received televote points from the other two members of this group. However, there were no exchanges of 12 televote points within this group. The highest individual score within this group was 10 televote points from Latvia to Lithuania. As it happened, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania each gave their 12 televote points to Ukraine, which was hardly surprising under the current circumstances. All this blew anyone’s expectation that Estonia and Lithuania would give each other 12 televote points, and that Latvia would give its top two televote points to Estonia and Lithuania. Likewise, this blew anyone’s expectation that Estonia and Lithuania would both receive high televote scores from the other two members of this group. Furthermore, Estonia and Lithuania each had to get over four fifths of their points from outside the Baltic area.

Nordic and Baltic

Things get even more interesting when the Nordic and Baltic countries are analysed together as one group, because it’s possible to see how Nordic countries favour (or not favour) Baltic countries and vice versa.

Jury Voting

From Country	Jury to Estonia	Jury to Finland	Jury to Iceland	Jury to Lithuania	Jury to Norway	Jury to Sweden
Denmark	0	0	1	3	0	7
Estonia	n/a	5	0	2	0	12
Finland	0	n/a	0	0	4	12
Iceland	0	0	n/a	1	8	12
Latvia	0	0	0	1	5	10
Lithuania	0	0	2	n/a	0	3
Norway	0	0	0	2	n/a	8
Sweden	6	0	0	0	3	n/a
Group Total	6	5	3	9	20	64
Overall Jury Total	43	12	10	35	36	258
% of Jury Total	13.95%	41.67%	30.00%	25.71%	55.56%	24.81%

As can be seen, Sweden was the only country to receive jury points from every other member of this supergroup, including 12 jury points apiece from Estonia, Finland and Iceland. Consequently Sweden achieved the highest group total here of 64 jury points. Nonetheless, that was less than a quarter of the 258 jury points Sweden received altogether. Thus over three quarters of Sweden’s jury points had to come from outside the combined Nordic / Baltic area. Norway received the highest percentage of its points within this supergroup, but then again, its overall jury total of 36 jury points was low compared to Sweden’s overall jury total. Elsewhere, although Estonia received no jury points from within the Baltic area alone, Estonia managed to receive 6 jury points from Sweden. Likewise, although Finland received no jury points from the Nordic area alone, Finland managed to get 5 jury points from Estonia.

Televoting

From Country	Tele to Estonia	Tele to Finland	Tele to Iceland	Tele to Lithuania	Tele to Norway	Tele to Sweden
Denmark	3	0	2	7	8	10
Estonia	n/a	8	0	7	4	10
Finland	10	n/a	0	2	6	8
Iceland	0	0	n/a	2	10	8
Latvia	8	1	0	10	5	6
Lithuania	8	0	0	n/a	2	10
Norway	2	0	0	10	n/a	8
Sweden	4	7	0	3	10	n/a
Group Total	35	16	2	41	45	60
Overall Tele Total	98	26	10	93	146	180
% of Tele Total	35.71%	61.54%	20.00%	44.09%	30.82%	33.33%

Lithuania, Norway and Sweden each received televote from every other member of this group. However, there were no exchanges of 12 televote points here, because as already stated, the Nordic and Baltic countries all gave their 12 televote points to Ukraine. Sweden had the highest group total here, 60 televote points, but that was only a third of its overall televote total of 180 points. The remaining two thirds (120 points) had to come from outside the combined Nordic / Baltic area.

Ex-Yugoslavia

Serbia was the only ex-Yugoslav country which qualified for the Grand Final this year. Of course, the other four ex-Yugoslav countries (Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Slovenia) which took part in the semi-finals, but failed to qualify, still voted in the Grand Final; however, they could only give and not receive jury and televoting points in the final. The upshot of this was, Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia and Slovenia were able to give jury and televoting points to Serbia, but Serbia could not give jury or televote points to Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia or Slovenia. For this reason, Serbia is omitted from the awarding countries within this group.

Jury Voting

From Country	Jury to Serbia
Croatia	12
Montenegro	12
North Macedonia	10
Slovenia	6
Group Total	40
Overall Jury Total	87
% of Jury Total	45.98%

Croatia and Montenegro each gave their top score of 12 jury points to Serbia. However, North Macedonia gave 10 jury points to Serbia, and Slovenia gave just 6 jury points to Serbia. This blew anyone’s expectation that all four non-qualifying ex-Yugoslav countries would each give 12 jury points to Serbia. The upshot of this was, Serbia received a total of 40 jury points from within this group, but that was less than half the 87 jury points Serbia received altogether. Consequently, over half of Serbia’s jury points had to come from countries outside the Ex-Yugoslavia group.

N.B. On this occasion, the jury points awarded by Montenegro were, in fact, an aggregated set of points calculated on the basis of a predetermined group of countries with similar voting patterns.

Televoting

From Country	Tele to Serbia
Croatia	12
Montenegro	12
North Macedonia	12
Slovenia	12
Group Total	48
Overall Tele Total	225
% of Tele Total	21.33%

As can be seen, Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia and Slovenia each gave their top score of 12 televote points to Serbia. That meant Serbia did as well as it could within this group in the public vote, 48 televote points, which is quite impressive. Even so, that was just over a fifth of Serbia’s televote total of 225 points. That meant nearly four fifths of the televote points, which Serbia received, had to come from countries outside the Ex-Yugoslavia group.

English Speaking Countries

Another group worth looking at here are the English-speaking countries Australia, Ireland, Malta and the United Kingdom. Within this group, the United Kingdom automatically qualified for the Grand Final as a Big Five member. Of the other three countries which took part in the semi-finals, Australia qualified for the Grand Final, whereas Ireland and Malta failed to qualify. Of course, Ireland and Malta still voted in the Grand Final, but could only give and not receive jury and televoting points in the final.

Jury Voting

From Country	Jury to Australia	Jury to United Kingdom
Australia	n/a	0
Ireland	2	8
Malta	6	8
United Kingdom	6	n/a
Group Total	14	16
Overall Jury Total	123	283
% of Jury Total	11.38%	5.65%

Televoting

From Country	Tele to Australia	Tele to United Kingdom
Australia	n/a	7
Ireland	0	6
Malta	0	12
United Kingdom	0	n/a
Group Total	0	25
Overall Tele Total	2	183
% of Tele Total	0.00%	13.66%

Central Europe

Another group is the Central European countries Austria, Czech Republic, Germany, Poland, Slovenia and Switzerland (Hungary and Slovakia didn’t enter this year). Within this group, Germany automatically qualified for the Grand Final as a Big Five member. Of the other five countries which took part in the semi-finals, Czech Republic, Poland and Switzerland qualified for the Grand Final. Austria and Slovenia, both of which failed to qualify, were only able to give, and not receive, jury and televoting points in the Grand Final.

Jury Voting

From Country	Jury to Czech Republic	Jury to Germany	Jury to Poland	Jury to Switzerland
Austria	0	0	0	1
Czech Republic	n/a	0	0	6
Germany	0	n/a	0	2
Poland	0	0	n/a	5
Slovenia	0	0	0	5
Switzerland	0	0	0	n/a
Group Total	0	0	0	19
Overall Jury Total	33	0	46	78
% of Jury Total	0.00%	Incalculable	0.00%	24.36%

This group seems a bit more complicated with countries favouring one another. No jury gave 12 points to any other country within this group. Switzerland was the only finalist to receive jury points from other members of this group; it did reasonably well here, including 6 jury points from Czech Republic (the highest individual jury score from one country to another within this group) and two lots of 5 jury points. Nonetheless, Switzerland’s group total of 19 jury points was less than a quarter of its overall jury total of 78 points. Thus, over three quarters of Switzerland’s jury points had to come from outside this group.

Czech Republic and Poland each received no jury points from other members of this group; therefore, all their jury points had to come from outside this group. Finally, Germany scored no jury points at all, let alone within this group.

N.B. On this occasion, the jury points awarded by Poland were, in fact, an aggregated set of points calculated on the basis of a predetermined group of countries with similar voting patterns.

Televoting

From Country	Tele to Czech Republic	Tele to Germany	Tele to Poland	Tele to Switzerland
Austria	0	2	4	0
Czech Republic	n/a	0	7	0
Germany	0	n/a	8	0
Poland	0	0	n/a	0
Slovenia	0	0	0	0
Switzerland	0	2	1	n/a
Group Total	0	4	20	0
Overall Tele Total	5	6	105	0
% of Tele Total	0.00%	66.67%	19.05%	Incalculable

Once again, there were no 12-point scores within this group. Poland did best, in terms of highest group total, on televoting within this group, including 8 televote points from Germany (the highest individual televote score from one country to another within this group) and 7 televote points from Czech Republic. Even so, Poland’s group total of 20 televote points was less than a fifth of its overall televote total of 105 points. This meant over four fifths of Poland’s televote points had to come from outside this group.

Undeniably Germany did best in terms of percentage of total televote points received within this group. The 4 televote points which Germany received within this group amounted to two thirds of its overall televote score of 6 points. It’s remaining 2 points (the remaining third of its televoting total) were from Estonia. When a country has such tiny scores, analysing its results in this way is rather meaningless.

Czech Republic received no televote points within this group, so its overall televote score of 5 had to come from outside this group (as it happened, they all came from just one country, North Macedonia). Of course, Switzerland received no televote points at all, let alone within this group.

Other

Unsurprisingly Cyprus, which failed to qualify for the Grand Final, gave 12 jury points to Greece. However, Cyprus gave just 10 televote points to Greece. This shows that Cyprus doesn’t necessarily give 12 televote points to Greece. Cyprus gave its 12 televote points to Ukraine. Obviously, it was impossible for Greece to give any points to Cyprus this time; for the record, Greece gave 12 jury points to Azerbaijan and 12 televote points to Spain.

Unsurprisingly, Portugal gave its 12 jury points to Spain. However, Portugal gave just 10 televote points to Spain, and 12 televote points to Ukraine. Spain gave no jury points at all to Portugal, and just 4 televote points to Portugal. For the record, Spain gave its 12 jury points to Azerbaijan and its 12 televote points to Ukraine. This blows out of the window anyone’s expectation that Spain would give Portugal 12 jury points and 12 televote points.

Belgium gave no jury points to the Netherlands, but they gave 10 televote points to the Netherlands. For the record, Belgium gave its 12 jury points to the United Kingdom and its 12 televote points to Ukraine. The Netherlands gave just 6 jury points to Belgium and 4 televote points to Belgium. As it happened, the Netherlands gave its 12 jury points to Greece and its 12 televote points to Ukraine. All this blows out of the window anyone’s expectation that Belgium and the Netherlands would give each other 12 jury points and 12 televote points.

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Alternative Voting Presentation

During the Eurovision Song Contest 2022 Grand Final, the jury voting points from each of the participating 40 countries (including the 15 non-qualifiers) were presented in the traditional way, i.e. for each country the 1 to 10 point scores were displayed on screen when the spokesperson appeared, added to the scoreboard as a block and the spokesperson announced the 12-point score. The voting order was: Netherlands, San Marino, North Macedonia, Malta, Ukraine, Albania, Estonia, Azerbaijan, Portugal, Germany, Belgium, Norway, Israel, Poland, Greece, Moldova, Bulgaria, Serbia, Iceland, Cyprus, Latvia, Spain, Switzerland, Denmark, France, Armenia, Montenegro, Romania, Ireland, Slovenia, Georgia, Croatia, Lithuania, Austria, Finland, United Kingdom, Sweden, Australia, Czech Republic, Italy.

`This whole process took about 34 minutes. After a short break, Alessandro, Laura and Mika announced the televoting totals for each of the 25 finalists, one by one, starting with the country which had the lowest jury score (Germany) and finishing with the country with the highest jury score (United Kingdom). Each time, Green Room shots of the applicable artists were shown. This process, from start to finish, took about 19 minutes.

Televote Totals Last to First

What if, after the 40 countries’ jury points had been put on the scoreboard in the manner they were (from Germany to United Kingdom), the televote totals had been announced in the way they were from 2016 to 2018 inclusive, going from the finalist that finished last in the televote to the finalist that finished first in the televote? For this description, I've started with the final jury scoreboard, as it appeared when all 40 sets of jury points had been put on the scoreboard.

1	United Kingdom	283	14	Poland	46
2	Sweden	258	15	Estonia	43
3	Spain	231	16	Armenia	40
4	Ukraine	192	17	Norway	36
5	Portugal	171	18	Lithuania	35
6	Greece	158	19	Czech Republic	33
7	Italy	158	20	Moldova	14
8	Netherlands	129	21	Romania	12
9	Australia	123	22	Finland	12
10	Azerbaijan	103	23	Iceland	10
11	Serbia	87	24	France	9
12	Switzerland	78	25	Germany	0
13	Belgium	59

Afterwards Alessandro, Laura and Mika would have announced the televote totals for each of the 25 finalists, starting with the bottom 15 from 25th to 11th, in rapid succession, as follows. N.B. I have simulated the procedure by inserting the televote totals alongside the jury totals into a spreadsheet and sorting it as each televote total was added. This is how I've been able to describe country movements on the scoreboard. To see all the simultaneous movements by multiple counties as each televote total would have been read out, one would need an animated graphic simulation of the scoreboard. Comments that Graham Norton might have said are shown in square brackets.

0 points to Switzerland (keeping them in 12th place for now). [Oh, that’s got to hurt.]
2 points to Australia (keeping them in 9th place for now).
3 points to Azerbaijan (keeping them in 10th place for now).
5 points to Czech Republic (taking them to 17th place initially).
5 points as well to Belgium (keeping them in 13th place for now).
6 points to Germany (keeping them in 25th place for now). [Oh, they got some, excellent. No one tonight is having our fate last year. No-one is going home with nul points]
8 points to France (taking them to 20th place initially).
10 points to Iceland (taking them to 20th place initially).
21 points to Armenia (taking them to 14th place initially).
26 points to Finland (taking them to 17th place initially).
36 points to Portugal (taking them to 4th place initially). [Well, that changes everything, we won’t be going to Portugal next year.]
42 points to the Netherlands (taking them to 6th place initially).
53 points to Romania (taking them to 13th place initially). [That’s a big change for them.]
57 points to Greece (taking them to 4th place initially).
93 points to Lithuania (taking them to 9th place initially).

The scoreboard would have looked like this after the bottom 15 televote totals were announced (countries which had already received their televote totals are in bold).

1	United Kingdom	283	14	Romania	65
2	Sweden	258	15	Belgium	64
3	Spain	231	16	Armenia	61
4	Greece	215	17	Poland	46
5	Portugal	207	18	Estonia	43
6	Ukraine	192	19	Finland	38
7	Netherlands	171	20	Czech Republic	38
8	Italy	158	21	Norway	36
9	Lithuania	128	22	Iceland	20
10	Australia	125	23	France	17
11	Azerbaijan	106	24	Moldova	14
12	Serbia	87	25	Germany	6
13	Switzerland	78

N.B. By now, 367 televote points would have been allocated to the scoreboard, and there would have been 1953 televote points to share among the top ten countries of the televote. However, the minimum any one of the ten remaining countries could have received would have been 93 televote points (just like Lithuania).

The countries placed 10th to 4th would have been announced at a much slower pace. Alessandro, Laura and Mika would (almost certainly) have announced the recipients of the top ten televote totals in turn. Each time the applicable country's score would have been updated and repositioned on the scoreboard, and viewers would have seen a brief shot of the applicable artist in the Green Room.

The country that got the 10th highest score, with 98 points is Estonia (taking them to 9th place initially). [Stefan there, the end of his hope.]
The country that got the 9th highest score, with 105 points is Poland (taking them to 9th place initially). [Not too shabby, it gets him to the left-hand side of the leader board.]
The country that got the 8th highest score, with 110 points is Italy (taking them to 2nd place initially). [The song has been a big hit. Not nearly as many as we were expecting. A beautiful song, great performance, but Italy didn’t want to win, so perhaps their dream has come true.]
The country that got the 7th highest score, with 146 points is Norway (taking them to 8th place initially). [Good but not a real game-changer; it’s nowhere near enough to put them in the lead. This is the difference between the juries and the televote.]
The country that got the 6th highest score, with 180 points is Sweden, putting them in the lead (taking them to 1st place initially). [Whatever happens now, they can’t win, but they can enjoy their moment in the lead.]
The country that got the 5th highest score, with 183 points is United Kingdom, putting them in the lead (taking them to 1st place initially). [Well, this is interesting, is that enough for us (the UK) to win? Of course, we don’t know how many points are left, but with so many low scores earlier, there could well be hundreds of points still up for grabs.]

N.B. By now, 1189 televote points would have been allocated to the scoreboard, and there would have been 1131 televote points remaining. However, the minimum each of the remaining four countries (Spain, Ukraine, Serbia, Moldova) could have received would have been 183 televote points, just like the United Kingdom. For Spain, Ukraine, Serbia and Moldova to have all finished at least one point below the United Kingdom’s final score of 466 points, Spain would have needed 234 televote points or less, Ukraine would have needed 273 points or less, Serbia would have needed 378 televote points or less and Moldova would have needed 451 televote points or less. It would, in theory, have been possible for the United Kingdom to have held its lead at this stage.

The country that got the 4th highest score, with 225 points is Serbia (taking them to 3rd place initially).

At this point the scoreboard would have looked like this (countries which had already received their televote totals are in bold):

1	United Kingdom	466	14	Australia	125
2	Sweden	438	15	Azerbaijan	106
3	Serbia	312	16	Switzerland	78
4	Italy	268	17	Romania	65
5	Spain	231	18	Belgium	64
6	Greece	215	19	Armenia	61
7	Portugal	207	20	Finland	38
8	Ukraine	192	21	Czech Republic	38
9	Norway	182	22	Iceland	20
10	Netherlands	171	23	France	17
11	Poland	151	24	Moldova	14
12	Estonia	141	25	Germany	6
13	Lithuania	128

With just three countries (Spain, Ukraine, Moldova) still awaiting their televote points, the United Kingdom would have been currently in the lead with its final score of 466 points. Alessandro, Laura or Mika would have said “The winner can now be United Kingdom, who are currently in the lead, or one of the three countries that haven’t received their points from the public vote, that’s Spain, Ukraine or Moldova”. Green Room shots of the artists representing the United Kingdom, Spain, Ukraine and Moldova would have been shown in four on-screen windows before continuing.

N.B. By now, 1414 televote points would have been allocated to the scoreboard, and there would have been 906 televote points remaining. However, the minimum each of the remaining three countries (Spain, Ukraine, Moldova) could have received would have been 225 televote points, just like Serbia. For Spain, Ukraine and Moldova to have all finished at least one point below the United Kingdom’s final score of 466 points, Spain would have needed 234 televote points or less, Ukraine would have needed 273 televote points or less, and Moldova would have needed 451 televote points or less. If Spain had received exactly 234 televote points and Ukraine had received 273 televote points, that would have left 399 televote points for Moldova. In theory, it would have still been possible for the United Kingdom to have held its lead at this stage. On the other hand, it would still have been realistically possible for either Spain or Ukraine to get enough televote points to pass the United Kingdom and win. As for the most extreme scenario, if Spain and Ukraine had each received 225 televote points, that would have left 456 televote points for Moldova, which would have been just enough for them to beat the UK with a winning score of 470 points. Thus, there would still, in theory, have been four possible winners at this stage.

The country that got the 3rd highest score, with 228 points is Spain (taking them to 2nd place initially). [Is that enough? No, it’s not. They nearly did it, but not quite. We (the UK) are still in the lead. Spain hoping to win it after, I think, 54 years. But a great performance by Chanel.]

Green Room shots of the artists representing the United Kingdom, Ukraine and Moldova would have been shown, left to right, across the screen, before continuing.

So, the United Kingdom is still in the lead, but bear in mind that two countries still need to receive their points from the public vote. So, the winner can be either the current leader United Kingdom, or one of the two countries that haven’t received their points from the public yet, Ukraine or Moldova. [Well, if Moldova wins the public vote, it won’t affect anything. They would need well over 450 points to pass us (the UK) and win; I think that’s highly unlikely.]

N.B. There would still have been 678 televote points to share between Ukraine and Moldova, but the minimum either of them could have received would have been 228 televote points (just like Spain). If one of those countries received 228 televote points, that would have left 450 televote points for the other country. If Moldova had received those 450 televote points, its final score would have now been 464 points (2 less than the United Kingdom). It would now have been mathematically impossible for Moldova to win, but still possible for Ukraine to win. Thus, in fact, there would only have been two possible winners (United Kingdom and Ukraine).

The country that got the 2nd highest score, with 239 points is Moldova (taking them to 6th place initially). [OK, that’s irrelevant; extraordinary but irrelevant. Still, I said it would do well, it came at the end of that long stretch of ballads. It was what the audience wanted. That just leaves Ukraine. Did the viewers respond to Ukraine in the way that people thought they would? Of course, we don’t know how many public vote points are left.]

The favourite, according to you at home, is Ukraine, but will they get enough points to pass the United Kingdom, who are currently in the lead? Ukraine now needs at least 275 points to pass the United Kingdom. [There could well be that many public vote points still available, we shall see. This is an exciting moment, it’s down to the wire.] (Green Room shots of the artists representing the United Kingdom and Ukraine would have been shown, left to right, across the screen.) Ukraine, the public have given you 439 points. That is astonishing, that is an enormous jump, putting Ukraine in first place with 631 points. And we have a new winner of the Eurovision Song Contest, it’s Ukraine. [Wow! The viewers did respond to Ukraine.]

The final scoreboard would have looked like this:

1	Ukraine	631	14	Lithuania	128
2	United Kingdom	466	15	Australia	125
3	Spain	459	16	Azerbaijan	106
4	Sweden	438	17	Switzerland	78
5	Serbia	312	18	Romania	65
6	Italy	268	19	Belgium	64
7	Moldova	253	20	Armenia	61
8	Greece	215	21	Finland	38
9	Portugal	207	22	Czech Republic	38
10	Norway	182	23	Iceland	20
11	Netherlands	171	24	France	17
12	Poland	151	25	Germany	6
13	Estonia	141

Televoting First, Jury Totals Last

What would have happened if the televoting points from each calling country had been announced by the 40 spokespersons first? Let's assume the order of presentation was the same as was used for announcement of the jury points, as specified above.

A few things are obvious:
• Ukraine would have finished 1st with 439 points and Moldova would have finished 2nd with 239 points (an enormous margin of 200 points).
• Ukraine would have already been in the lead when the first country (the Netherlands) announced its televote points.
• Switzerland would have finished last with zero points (and hence not been listed / mentioned in any calling country’s scores).

The following are speculated. Although all the jury points and televoting points each of the 40 countries awarded to the finalists are available on eurovision.tv, the only way to confirm the following would be able to create a graphic simulation of the scoreboard, starting with the finalists on zero in the order they performed, and each of the 40 countries' televoting points (1 to 12) being added in the order mentioned above.
• Ukraine would have become uncatchable on televote points alone when there were still about 10 to 15 countries waiting to call.
• After the Netherlands (first to call) put Ukraine in the lead from the outset, Ukraine would have almost certainly stayed in the lead right to the end.
• For some of the voting a “cat and mouse” situation might have occurred between Moldova, Spain and Serbia for second, third and fourth place.

Once all 40 spokespersons had finished announcing their televoting points, the scoreboard would have looked like this.

1	Ukraine	439	14	Netherlands	42
2	Moldova	239	15	Portugal	36
3	Spain	228	16	Finland	26
4	Serbia	225	17	Armenia	21
5	United Kingdom	183	18	Iceland	10
6	Sweden	180	19	France	8
7	Norway	146	20	Germany	6
8	Italy	110	21	Belgium	5
9	Poland	105	22	Czech Republic	5
10	Estonia	98	23	Azerbaijan	3
11	Lithuania	93	24	Australia	2
12	Greece	57	25	Switzerland	0
13	Romania	53

A short break would have been held, during which Alessandro would have spoken to Kalush Orchestra from Ukraine, congratulating them for having won the public vote.

Two methods of announcing the 25 finalists' jury totals are outlined below.

Jury Totals Going Up Televote Scoreboard

The exact opposite of what happened in the Eurovision Song Contest 2022 Grand Final. Alessandro, Laura and Mika would have started with the country that finished bottom of the televote (Switzerland), and worked their way up the scoreboard, country by country, until they reached the televote winner (Ukraine). Here I have simulated the procedure by inserting the jury totals alongside the televoting totals into a spreadsheet and sorting it as each jury total was added. This is how I've been able to describe country movements on the scoreboard. To see all the simultaneous movements by multiple counties as each jury total would have been read out, one would need an animated graphic simulation of the scoreboard. Comments that Graham Norton might have said are shown in square brackets.

Alessandro: We’ll start off with the nation that has obtained the least number of points from the public, and that is Switzerland, and Switzerland gets 78 points from the national juries. (taking them to 12th place initially). [That’s a big change, at least they got some love from the juries. They’re on the left hand side of the scoreboard at the moment. I don’t think they’ll stay there, but it means no-one is going home with nul ponts tonight.]
Laura: We move on to Australia. Australia has received 123 points from the juries. (taking them to 8th place initially). [There you go, the juries come along and change everything. It’s nowhere near enough for a win, but they’re on the left hand side of the scoreboard. Can they stay on that side though?]
Mika: Moving on to Azerbaijan, and the jury points going to Azerbaijan are 103 points. (taking them to 10th place initially). [They too were strongly favoured by the juries. It’s amazing how the bottom three of the public vote have done considerably better with the juries.]
Alessandro: We now move on to Czech Republic. Czech Republic has received 33 points from the juries. (taking them to 18th place initially). [Well, that’s considerably more than they got from the public, but it’s a low score compared to what the last three countries got from the juries. Still, they performed first.]
Laura: Let’s move on now to Belgium. Belgium, the juries have given you 59 points. (taking them to 15th place initially). [That’s another fairly big change, at least Belgium got some love from the juries.]
Mika: And we move on, we go to Germany. Germany, from the juries, you have received, I’m sorry, 0 points. (keeping them in 25th place). [That’s got to hurt. Whatever happens now, Germany will finish last. Yeah give him (Malik Harris) a cheer. That could be an early warning to Kalush Orchestra if the juries didn’t like songs containing rap.]
Alessandro: And now, next in line is France. France, the juries have given you 9 points. (taking them to 23rd place initially). [They came second last year.]
Laura: And next up is Iceland. Iceland, you have received 10 points from the juries. (taking them to 23rd place initially). [This is Systur.]
Mika: Seventeen countries left. Let’s move on to Armenia, and Armenia received 40 points. (taking them to 16th place initially).
Alessandro: We move on to Finland, and Finland received 12 points. (taking them to 20th place initially).
Laura: Yes. Moving on to Portugal. Portugal, get ready to receive 171 points from the national juries. (taking them to 5th place initially). [Wow, another example of a song where the public gave a fairly low score, and the juries gave a massive score. Once again, it’s nowhere near enough for a win, but they’re on the left hand side of the scoreboard.]
Mika: That’s a lot of points. Amazing jump, well done.
Mika: Next up is the Netherlands. The Netherlands, are you ready? Because you have got 129 points from the juries. (taking them to 8th place initially). [There you go, another song which did much better with the juries than with the public. They too are now on the left hand side of the scoreboard, but can they stay there?]
Alessandro: Let’s move on to Romania. Romania, the juries have given you 12 points. (taking them to 17th place initially).
Laura: And now we go to Greece you have received, from the juries, 158 points (taking them to 5th place initially). [Another ballad which did considerably better with the juries than with the public. This is the difference between the televote and the juries.]
Mika: Let’s move on to Lithuania. Lithuania, the juries have given you 35 points. (taking them to 11th place initially). [On the other hand, that’s a ballad which fared considerably less well with the juries than with the public. I think suffering for being in that big batch of ballads in the middle of the contest.]

With just ten countries left to receive their points from the juries, the scoreboard would have looked like this (countries which had already received their jury totals are in bold):

1	Ukraine	439	14	Azerbaijan	106
2	Moldova	239	15	Poland	105
3	Spain	228	16	Estonia	98
4	Serbia	225	17	Switzerland	78
5	Greece	215	18	Romania	65
6	Portugal	207	19	Belgium	64
7	United Kingdom	183	20	Armenia	61
8	Sweden	180	21	Finland	38
9	Netherlands	171	22	Czech Republic	38
10	Norway	146	23	Iceland	20
11	Lithuania	128	24	France	17
12	Australia	125	25	Germany	6
13	Italy	110

Alessandro: Ukraine is still number one right now. Very good job, so we are getting closer to the final. Ten countries, ten countries are left and their points will decide who the winner of the Eurovision Song Contest 2022 is.
Laura: Alright, told you, anything can happen in here. And now, are you ready for the final rash? And remember, once again, everything can change, right up to the last vote.

Mika: Next up is Estonia, and Estonia has received 43 points. (taking them to 11th place initially).
Alessandro: OK then, now let’s move on to Poland. Poland, the juries have given you 46 points. (taking them to 10th place initially). [They too have done considerably less well with the juries, but they’re now on the left hand side of the scoreboard.]
Laura: Only eight countries left, and next up is Italy. Italy, get ready to receive 158 points from the national juries. (taking them to 2nd place initially). [The song has been a big hit. Not nearly as many as we were expecting. A beautiful song, great performance, but Italy didn’t want to win, so perhaps their dream has come true. Meanwhile, the worst we (the UK) can now finish is tenth.]
Mika: This puts them (Italy) in second place, and Ukraine are still in the lead. The atmosphere here is remarkable, there is so much love and at the same time, there is so much tension.
Alessandro: Moving on to Norway, who gets 36 points. Give it up for Norway. (taking them to 9th place initially). [Another country that did so well with the public, but has received a much lower score from the juries.]
Laura: Let’s move on to Sweden. Sweden, get ready to receive 258 points from the national juries. (taking them to 2nd place initially). [Is that enough to pass Ukraine? No, it’s not. They did considerably better with the juries than with the public, but it wasn’t quite enough to pass Ukraine.]
Mika: That’s a lot of points gone, right there. That was a huge leap forward; they (Sweden) are now in second place, but it wasn’t enough to pass Ukraine, who are still in first place.
[It’s the moment of truth everyone, it’s the UK’s turn now. Did the juries like Sam Ryder’s entry as much as the public? We’re about to find out. Even if we (the UK) got zero from the juries, we’ll finish ninth, which will be our best position for several years.]
Alessandro: Only five countries left. Let’s move on to the United Kingdom. United Kingdom, the juries have given you 283 points. (taking them to 1st place initially). Wait! There is a new leader, The United Kingdom is now in first position. Great result, great result, congratulations United Kingdom. [Wow, That answers that question, yes, the juries liked Sam Ryder’s entry even more the public; he got a much higher score from the juries than from the public. We’re now in the lead, take a picture! It’s unlikely we (the UK) can hold that lead; Ukraine have yet to receive their jury points and they won’t need many to pass us, but we can enjoy our moment in the lead.]

N.B. By now, 1796 televote points would have been allocated to the scoreboard, and there would have been 524 televote points remaining.

Laura: The United Kingdom now leads with 466 points, but we all know things can still change. We’re now going to move on to Serbia. Serbia, the juries have given you 87 points. (taking them to 4th place initially).

At this point the scoreboard would have looked like this (countries which had already received their jury totals are in bold):

1	United Kingdom	466	14	Lithuania	128
2	Ukraine	439	15	Australia	125
3	Sweden	438	16	Azerbaijan	106
4	Serbia	312	17	Switzerland	78
5	Italy	268	18	Romania	65
6	Moldova	239	19	Belgium	64
7	Spain	228	20	Armenia	61
8	Greece	215	21	Finland	38
9	Portugal	207	22	Czech Republic	38
10	Norway	182	23	Iceland	20
11	Netherlands	171	24	France	17
12	Poland	151	25	Germany	6
13	Estonia	141

Mika: Stay where you are guys, because in a minute, we will find out the winners. We are excited.

With just three countries (Spain, Moldova, Ukraine) still awaiting their jury points, United Kingdom would have been currently in the lead with its final score of 466 points.

Alessandro, Laura or Mika would have said “The United Kingdom is still in the lead with 466 points, but bear in mind that three countries still need to receive their points from the national juries. So, the winner can be either the current leader United Kingdom, or one of the three countries that haven’t received their points from the juries yet, Ukraine, Moldova, Spain”. Green Room shots of the artists representing the United Kingdom, Ukraine, Moldova and Spain would have been shown in four on-screen windows before continuing.

N.B. By now, 1883 televote points would have been allocated to the scoreboard, and there would have been 437 televote points remaining.

We now move on to Spain. Spain has received 231 points. (taking them to 2nd place initially). Great result, great result, congratulations Spain. [Is that enough to pass us (the UK)? No, it’s not; Spain are now in second place. Spain hoping to win it after, I think, 54 years. But a great performance by Chanel.]

N.B. By now, 2114 televote points would have been allocated to the scoreboard, and there would have been 206 televote points remaining.

Laura: So, United Kingdom is in the lead, but bear in mind that two countries still need to receive their points from the national juries. So, the winner can be either the current leader, or one of the two countries that haven’t received their points from the juries yet, Ukraine or Moldova.

This is our virtual podium, we are about to discover which country will reach the highest position.

Laura: Moldova, the time has come. Moldova, you get 14 points. (keeping them in 7th place). [Oh, that’s got to hurt, after they did so well in the public vote. Still, it’s hardly surprising; it’s the sort of song the public would have enjoyed when it was performed after that long stretch of ballads, and thus voted for, but it wasn’t jury friendly material. That should be a wake-up call to Ukraine, who could still get a similarly low score.]

[This is Ukraine. Did the juries respond to Ukraine in the way that the public did? They only need 28 jury points to pass us (the UK). If they get 27 points from the juries, they would tie with the UK, but still win outright due to their higher televote score. For Ukraine to stay below us (the UK), they would need 26 points or less. Those scores are tiny, but we’ve just seen how few points Moldova got from the juries. We don’t know how many, or how few, jury points are left, but Ukraine could still get zero from the juries, after their landslide public vote victory. Did the juries like Kalush Orchestra’s blend of Ukrainian folk and rap? We’ve already seen what happened to one song containing rap.]

Now it’s either United Kingdom, or Ukraine. Who will be the winner of the Eurovision Song Contest 2022? From the juries, Ukraine has received 192 points. [Well that’s more than they needed to pass us (the UK), but it’s nowhere near as much as they got from the public.]

The final scoreboard (with Ukraine’s jury total included) would have looked like this

1	Ukraine	631	14	Lithuania	128
2	United Kingdom	466	15	Australia	125
3	Spain	459	16	Azerbaijan	106
4	Sweden	438	17	Switzerland	78
5	Serbia	312	18	Romania	65
6	Italy	268	19	Belgium	64
7	Moldova	253	20	Armenia	61
8	Greece	215	21	Finland	38
9	Portugal	207	22	Czech Republic	38
10	Norway	182	23	Iceland	20
11	Netherlands	171	24	France	17
12	Poland	151	25	Germany	6
13	Estonia	141

At this point individual countries would have been able to announce their own national jury points. Graham Norton would almost certainly have read out the UK's national jury results to UK viewers.

Jury Totals Last to First

What if, after the 40 countries' televote points had been put on the scoreboard (from the Netherlands to Italy), the jury totals had been announced going from the finalist that finished last in the jury vote to the finalist that finished first in the jury vote? Here is the scoreboard again, as it would have appeared after all the televote points had been announced, and Ukraine had been confirmed as having won the televote.

1	Ukraine	439	14	Netherlands	42
2	Moldova	239	15	Portugal	36
3	Spain	228	16	Finland	26
4	Serbia	225	17	Armenia	21
5	United Kingdom	183	18	Iceland	10
6	Sweden	180	19	France	8
7	Norway	146	20	Germany	6
8	Italy	110	21	Belgium	5
9	Poland	105	22	Czech Republic	5
10	Estonia	98	23	Azerbaijan	3
11	Lithuania	93	24	Australia	2
12	Greece	57	25	Switzerland	0
13	Romania	53

Afterwards Alessandro, Laura and Mika would have announced the jury totals for each of the 25 finalists, starting with the bottom 15 from 25th to 11th, in rapid succession, as follows. Once again, I have simulated the procedure by inserting the jury totals alongside the televoting totals into a spreadsheet and sorting it as each jury total was added. This is how I've been able to describe country movements on the scoreboard. To see all the simultaneous movements by multiple counties as each jury total would have been read out, one would need an animated graphic simulation of the scoreboard. Comments that Graham Norton might have said are shown in square brackets.

0 points to Germany. (keeping them in 20th place for now).
9 points to France. (taking them to 18th place initially).
10 points to Iceland. (taking them to 18th place initially).
12 points to Finland. (taking them to 15th place initially).
12 points as well to Romania. (taking them to 12th place initially).
14 points to Moldova. (keeping them in 2nd place for now). [Well, that changes everything, we won’t be going to Moldova next year.]
33 points to Czech Republic. (taking them to 16th place initially).
35 points to Lithuania. (taking them to 8th place initially). [A ballad which fared considerably less well with the juries than with the public. I think suffering for being in that big batch of ballads in the middle of the contest.]
36 points to Norway. (taking them to 6th place initially).
40 points to Armenia. (taking them to 13th place initially).
43 points to Estonia. (taking them to 8th place initially).
46 points to Poland. (taking them to 8th place initially).
59 points to Belgium. (taking them to 13th place initially). [That’s a fairly big change, at least Belgium got some love from the juries.]
78 points to Switzerland. (taking them to 12th place initially). [Wow! Another big change, at least they got some love from the juries. They’re on the left-hand side of the scoreboard for now. Sadly they can’t stay there, but it means no-one is going home with nul ponts tonight.]
87 points to Serbia. (taking them to 2nd place initially). [Well, we won’t be going to Serbia either. That’s a big disappointment for them, after they were top five with the public.]

The scoreboard would have looked like this after the bottom 15 jury totals were announced (countries which had already received their jury totals are in bold).

1	Ukraine	439	14	Belgium	64
2	Serbia	312	15	Armenia	61
3	Moldova	253	16	Greece	57
4	Spain	228	17	Netherlands	42
5	United Kingdom	183	18	Finland	38
6	Norway	182	19	Czech Republic	38
7	Sweden	180	20	Portugal	36
8	Poland	151	21	Iceland	20
9	Estonia	141	22	France	17
10	Lithuania	128	23	Germany	6
11	Italy	110	24	Azerbaijan	3
12	Switzerland	78	25	Australia	2
13	Romania	65

At this point, Graham Norton would almost certainly have stated the following:
• Ukraine was now going to be difficult to beat, because even if they are called next with 87 jury points (the same as Serbia), they would finish with 526 points overall
• The United Kingdom hadn’t been called yet, and would therefore finish top ten score in the jury vote, with at least 87 jury points.
• Azerbaijan and Australia have finished in the top ten of the jury vote, and would get at least 87 jury points (and possibly a lot more) each, despite their low public vote scores.

The countries placed 10th to 4th would have been announced at a much slower pace. Alessandro, Laura and Mika would have (almost certainly) announced the recipients of the top ten jury totals alternately. Each time the applicable country's score would have been updated and repositioned on the scoreboard, and viewers would have seen a brief shot of the applicable artist in the Green Room.

N.B. By now, 514 points would have been allocated to the scoreboard, and there would have been 1806 jury points remaining. However, the minimum any one of the top ten countries of the jury vote could have now received would have been 87 jury points, just like Serbia.

The country that got the 10th highest score, with 103 points is Azerbaijan. (taking them to 12th place initially). [There you go, the juries come along and change everything. That puts them left-hand side of the scoreboard for now, but sadly they won’t be able to stay there.]
The country that got the 9th highest score, with 123 points is Australia. (taking them to 11th place initially). [They too were strongly favoured by the juries. That also puts them on the left-hand side of the scoreboard temporarily, but again it’s mathematically impossible for them stay there. It’s amazing how the bottom three of the public vote have done considerably better with the juries.]
The country that got the 8th highest score, with 129 points is Netherlands. (taking them to 8th place initially).
The country that got the 7th highest score, with 158 points is Italy. (taking them to 3rd place initially). [The song has been a big hit. Not nearly as many as we were expecting. A beautiful song, great performance, but Italy didn’t want to win, so perhaps their dream has come true.]
The country that got the 6th highest score, with 158 points is Greece. (taking them to 6th place initially). [Another ballad which did considerably better with the juries than with the public. This is the difference between the televote and the juries.]
The country that got the 5th highest score, with 171 points is Portugal. (taking them to 7th place initially). [Wow, another example of a song where the public gave a fairly low score, and the juries gave a massive score. It’s nowhere near enough for a win, but they’re on the left hand side of the scoreboard.]
The country that got the 4th highest score, with 192 points is Ukraine. (keeping them in 1st place for now). [I think that could well be enough to win; it’ll be hard for any of the remaining three countries to beat that.]

At this point the scoreboard would have looked like this (countries which had already received their jury totals are in bold):

1	Ukraine	631	14	Lithuania	128
2	Serbia	312	15	Australia	125
3	Italy	268	16	Azerbaijan	106
4	Moldova	253	17	Switzerland	78
5	Spain	228	18	Romania	65
6	Greece	215	19	Belgium	64
7	Portugal	207	20	Armenia	61
8	United Kingdom	183	21	Finland	38
9	Norway	182	22	Czech Republic	38
10	Sweden	180	23	Iceland	20
11	Netherlands	171	24	France	17
12	Poland	151	25	Germany	6
13	Estonia	141

With just three countries (Spain, United Kingdom, Sweden) still awaiting their jury points, Ukraine would have been currently in the lead with its final score of 631 points. Alessandro, Laura or Mika would have said “The winner can now be Ukraine, who are currently in the lead, or one of the three countries that haven't received their points from the national juries, that's Spain, United Kingdom or Sweden”. Green Room shots of the artists representing Ukraine, Spain, United Kingdom and Sweden would have been shown in four on-screen windows before continuing. Graham Norton may well have said something like “I think Ukraine are now uncatchable. Spain, which is currently the highest placed country that has yet to receive its jury points, will need at least 404 jury points to pass Ukraine. We (the UK) will need at least 449 jury points to pass Ukraine.”

N.B. By now, 1548 jury points would have been allocated to the scoreboard, and there would have been 772 jury points remaining. However, the minimum Spain, the United Kingdom and Sweden could have each received would have been 192 jury points (just like Ukraine). If any two of Spain, the United Kingdom and Sweden had each received 192 jury points, that would have left 388 jury points for the one remaining country. Thus, the maximum any one of the three remaining countries (Spain, United Kingdom, Sweden) could have received would have been 388 jury points. Hence the maximum achievable scores for three remaining countries would have been: Spain 616 points, United Kingdom 571 points, Sweden 568 points. It would have been mathematically impossible for Spain, United Kingdom or Sweden to win at this stage.

Of course, very few viewers (if any) would have known how many jury points were left for the remaining three countries at this point. Alessandro, Laura and Mika would have kept the suspense going and continued as follows.

The country that got the 3rd highest score, with 231 points is Spain. (taking them to 2nd place initially). Great result, great result, congratulations Spain. [Nowhere near enough to pass Ukraine. Spain are now in second place. Spain hoping to win it after, I think, 54 years. But a great performance by Chanel.]

Green Room shots of the artists representing Ukraine, the United Kingdom and Sweden would have been shown, left to right, across the screen, before continuing.

So, Ukraine is still in the lead, but bear in mind that two countries still need to receive their points from the national juries. So, the winner can be either the current leader Ukraine, or one of the two countries that haven’t received their points from the juries yet, United Kingdom or Sweden.

N.B. There would now have been 541 jury points to share between the United Kingdom and Sweden, but the minimum either of them could have now received would have been 231 jury points (just like Spain). If either country received 231 jury points, that would have left 310 jury points for the other country, which would have been insufficient to pass Ukraine. It would, in fact, have been mathematically impossible for the United Kingdom or Sweden to win.

The country that got the 2nd highest score, with 258 points is Sweden. (taking them to 3rd place initially).

The favourite, according to the juries, is the United Kingdom, but will they get enough points to pass Ukraine, who are currently in the lead? [I don’t think Sam Ryder can do it, he would need at least 449 jury points to pass Ukraine; I doubt if there are anywhere near that many points left.] (Green Room shots of the artists representing Ukraine and the United Kingdom would have been shown, left to right, across the screen.) United Kingdom, the juries have given you 283 points, which is not enough to pass Ukraine. (taking them to 2nd place) [It’s nowhere near enough to win. Where does that put him? Second place, we (the UK) have finished second.]

The final scoreboard (with the United Kingdom’s jury total included) would have looked like this:

1	Ukraine	631	14	Lithuania	128
2	United Kingdom	466	15	Australia	125
3	Spain	459	16	Azerbaijan	106
4	Sweden	438	17	Switzerland	78
5	Serbia	312	18	Romania	65
6	Italy	268	19	Belgium	64
7	Moldova	253	20	Armenia	61
8	Greece	215	21	Finland	38
9	Portugal	207	22	Czech Republic	38
10	Norway	182	23	Iceland	20
11	Netherlands	171	24	France	17
12	Poland	151	25	Germany	6
13	Estonia	141

At this point individual countries would have been able to announce their own national jury points. Graham Norton would almost certainly have read out the UK's national jury results to UK viewers.

Conclusion

This was the sixth time the two-part voting system first introduced in 2016 was used, and the third time of announcing the televoting totals starting with the country that received the lowest jury score and finishing with the country that received the highest jury score. Once again, it certainly produced some shocks and surprises, and plenty for keen fans to analyse well after the winner was announced. With all this in mind, after six contests of this two-part voting system being used, I still like this system very much, and feel it's perfectly fair. I hope the EBU continues using this system in 2023 and beyond. The announcement of the televoting totals adds to the excitement of the scoring procedure; in fact, I think it's the highlight of the entire Grand Final. Mark my words, next year's Eurovision Song Contest will tell another story as far as the jury and public results are concerned.

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