Eurovision Song Contest Statistics 2016

Following Ukraine's second win this year, I've analysed the participating countries for the entire history of the Eurovision Song Contest. Some interesting statistics have emerged from this. You may click on one of the links below to jump to a particular section, or alternatively you may wish to read the whole document start to finish.

Four Years of Different Winners
Years Taken to First Win Eurovision Song Contest
Still Waiting For A First Win
Years Since Last Win
Gaps Between Wins
How Many Wins?

Four Years of Different Winners

Firstly, it's interesting to see that since 2013, a different country has won each year.

2013 Denmark (3rd)
2014 Austria (2nd)
2015 Sweden (6th)
2016 Ukraine (2nd)

Figures in brackets indicate the cumulative win for that country, e.g. in 2016 Ukraine won for the second time.

This means that from 2013 to 2016 inclusive, there has been a 4 year run of different winners. How much longer will this trend of a different winner each year continue?

The record for the longest run of a different winner each year currently stands at 16 years (1996 to 2011 inclusive), as shown in the list below. Note also there was an eight year run of first-time winners from 2001 to 2008 inclusive during that time.

1996 Ireland (7th)
1997 United Kingdom (5th)
1998 Israel (3rd)
1999 Sweden (4th)
2000 Denmark (2nd)
2001 Estonia (1st)
2002 Latvia (1st)
2003 Turkey (1st)
2004 Ukraine (1st)
2005 Greece (1st)
2006 Finland (1st)
2007 Serbia (1st)
2008 Russia (1st)
2009 Norway (3rd)
2010 Germany (2nd)
2011 Azerbaijan (1st)

It will now take 12 years of different winners not in the 2013 to 2016 run to bring the current run back to 16 years of different winners (2013 to 2028), plus another year (2029) to beat it. As you will see in the next few sections that could well happen.

Can the eight year run of first-time winners be beaten? It can, although it will take until at least 2025 to happen. Further interesting trivia follows in the next few sections.

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Years Taken to First Win Eurovision Song Contest

Here are all the 26 countries that have won the Eurovision Song Contest at least once. Notice the number of years from first ever entry to first win varies considerably. Finland currently holds the record for longest wait for a first win: 45 years, i.e. it first won in 2006, 45 years after its first ever song in 1961. Serbia currently holds the record for shortest wait for a first win (see footnote for more though). The most recent first-time winner Azerbaijan (2011) had a short wait: 3 years after its debut entry in 2008.

Country	First Entry	First Win	Years After First Entry
Finland	1961	2006	45
Greece	1974	2005	31
Belgium	1956	1986	30
Yugoslavia	1961	1989	28
Turkey	1975	2003	28
Germany	1956	1982	26
Norway	1960	1985	25
Sweden	1958	1974	16
Russia	1994	2008	14
Monaco	1959	1971	12
United Kingdom	1957	1967	10
Austria	1957	1966	9
Italy	1956	1964	8
Spain	1961	1968	7
Estonia	1994	2001	7
Denmark	1957	1963	6
Luxembourg	1956	1961	5
Ireland	1965	1970	5
Israel	1973	1978	5
Azerbaijan	2008	2011	3
France	1956	1958	2
Latvia	2000	2002	2
The Netherlands	1956	1957	1
Ukraine	2003	2004	1
Switzerland[1]	1956	1956	0
Serbia	2007	2007	0

[1] The debut Eurovision Song Contest in 1956 was the only year each country was able to enter two songs.  Switzerland's second song of the night "Refrain" won the 1956 Contest, therefore its first ever song did not win.  Consequently, from 1956 to 2006, no country won with its first ever song.

Serbia thus became the first country to win with its first ever song (as an independent nation), which is why it had a shorter wait for its first win than Switzerland. It could be argued that Serbia previously participated as part of Serbia and Montenegro (2004), and part of Yugoslavia (1974, 1982, 1991, 1992). However on those occasions, the songs represented the whole of Serbia and Montenegro / Yugoslavia, not just Serbia itself. 2007 was the first year that Serbia's song just represented Serbia.

If Liechtenstein enters in the future, and wins with its first ever song, it could be said to have an even shorter wait for a first win having not previously entered as part of a larger country which no longer exists.

It's worth bearing in mind that the above list ignores the fact that some countries missed a few years in their history. For example, Finland first won in 2006, 45 years after its first entry in 1961. However it missed the Contests of 1970, 1995, 1997, 1999, 2001 and 2003.

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Still Waiting For A First Win

Now for the countries which have yet to achieve their first win:

N.B. Each country's debut year is shown after its name. Estonia, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia entered the 1993 qualifying round Kvalifikacija za Millstreet in Ljubljana, Slovenia, on 3 April 1993, but didn't qualify for the 1993 Eurovision Song Contest, and thus their debut year is officially recognised as 1994. F.Y.R. Macedonia entered the audio qualifier for the 1996 Eurovision Song Contest, but failed to qualify, and thus its debut year is officially recognised as 1998. However since the advent of semi-finals in 2004, the debut year is the year a country first appeared in the semi-final, whether or not it qualified to the final.

Long Time Runners (pre-2000)

Country	First Entry	Years Since First Entry
Portugal	1964	52
Malta	1971	45
Morocco	1980	36
Cyprus	1981	35
Iceland	1986	30
Slovenia	1993	23
Bosnia & Herzegovina	1993	23
Croatia	1993	23
Romania	1994	22
Slovakia	1994	22
Lithuania	1994	22
Hungary	1994	22
Poland	1994	22
F.Y.R. Macedonia	1998	18

That's 14 countries altogether. One significant subset is the seven which debuted in 1994; Estonia won in 2001 and Russia won in 2008, therefore 5 of the 7 which first entered in 1994 have yet to achieve their first win. Another interesting group are the three ex-Yugoslav countries which debuted in 1993; 23 years on and none of those three have won yet. If one of each of the above countries wins every year, it will take 14 years for them all to win once (if Morocco ever makes a comeback).

If Portugal comes back and wins next year, it will have taken 53 years (more than half a century) to achieve its first win, which will snatch the record for longest wait for a first win from Finland (45 years). My advice to Portugal, try singing in English; it might then stand a chance.

Will Morocco ever return to the Eurovision Song Contest? If it enters, reaches the final and wins next year, it will have the second longest wait for a first win: 37 years (1980 - 2017). However it will also have the longest gap between entries: 37 years. Bizarrely though, it will have won on only its second attempt (just like Ukraine in 2004)!

Recent Newcomers (since 2004)

Since the introduction of semi-finals in 2004, 14 new countries have entered the Eurovision Song Contest from 2004 onwards. The most recent was Australia in 2015 as an invited guest to mark the Contest's 60th year, and despite being allowed to enter again in 2016, their future participation is currently uncertain. That aside the most recent countries eligible for regular participation were Azerbaijan and San Marino in 2008. Of the 14 which debuted since 2004, Serbia won in 2007 (the very first time it entered as Serbia) and Azerbaijan won in 2011 (3 years after first entering in 2008). The other 12 countries from this group are still waiting for their first win:

Country	First Entry	Years Since First Entry
Belarus	2004	12
Andorra[2]	2004	12
Albania	2004	12
Serbia & Montenegro[3]	2004	12
Moldova	2005	11
Bulgaria	2005	11
Armenia	2006	10
Georgia	2007	9
Montenegro	2007	9
Czech Republic	2007	9
San Marino	2008	8
Australia[4]	2015	1

[2] Never qualified to final

[3] Nation no longer exists

[4] Originally a 60th Contest guest participant in 2015, but allowed back for 2016; future participation currently uncertain

How long will it be before any of the countries in this group have their first win? Note that Serbia & Montenegro no longer exists as a joint country. Australia was originally intended to be a one-off guest participant for the 60th Contest in 2015; although it was allowed to enter again in 2016, its future participation is currently uncertain. Therefore that leaves 10 countries in this group, and thus it will take at least 10 years for them to win once each.

Taking the two groups together, that's 24 countries still waiting for their first ever win (25 if Australia is allowed to continue as a regular participant). So you see, it's quite possible for the eight year run of first-time winners (2001 to 2008) to be beaten (2017 to 2025 and beyond). Furthermore, first time wins for each of these countries during forthcoming years will continue the trend of a different winner each year since 2013.

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Years Since Last Win

Distant Past Winners (pre-2004)

By this I mean countries that last won before the introduction of semi-finals in 2004 (which was also the year of Ukraine's first ever win). Altogether, I've found 15 countries that last won in 2003 or earlier still waiting to win again. Note that one of them Yugoslavia no longer exists, so that leaves 14 countries.

Country	Last Win	Years Since Last Win
Spain	1969	47
Monaco	1971	45
The Netherlands	1975	41
France	1977	39
Luxembourg	1983	33
Belgium	1986	30
Switzerland	1988	28
Yugoslavia[5]	1989	27
Italy	1990	26
Ireland	1996	20
United Kingdom	1997	19
Israel	1998	18
Estonia	2001	15
Latvia	2002	14
Turkey	2003	13

[5] Nation no longer exists

Monaco was absent from Eurovision from 1980 to 2003 inclusive. 2004 to 2006 inclusive it entered but failed to qualify from the semi-finals. Since 2007 it has been absent again. Will it return in 2017, and if so will it qualify to the final for the first time since the introduction of semi-finals in 2004? If it returns, reaches the final and wins, it will have had 46 years gap between wins (1971 to 2017).

Luxembourg last entered in 1993. Will it ever return? If it comes back and wins next year, it will have had 34 years gap between wins (1983 - 2017).

If Italy wins next year, it will have had 27 years gap between wins (1990 - 2017), thereby exceeding its previous 26 year gap between wins (1964 - 1990).

If any one of the above countries wins next year, it will extend the current run of a different country winning each year by one year, i.e. 2013 to 2017 inclusive.

Recent Winners

Now for the countries whose last win was in 2004 or later. Sweden has won twice since then (2012 and 2015), as has Ukraine (2004 and 2016), but only their most recent wins are shown here. Although I've described this group as "recent" winners, it's already quite a long time since some of them last won; 10 years plus in the case of Finland and Greece.

Country	Last Win	Years Since Last Win
Greece	2005	11
Finland	2006	10
Serbia	2007	9
Russia	2008	8
Norway	2009	7
Germany	2010	6
Azerbaijan	2011	5
Denmark	2013	3
Austria	2014	2
Sweden	2015	1
Ukraine	2016	0

If any country which won between 2005 and 2011 inclusive wins next year, it will extend the current run of a different country winning each year by one year, i.e. 2013 to 2017 inclusive. With 7 countries in the 2005 to 2011 year range, plus another 14 countries which haven't won for at least 13 years (2003 or earlier), plus 24 countries still waiting for their first ever win, the current trend of a different winner each year (since 2013) is likely to continue for several years to come.

If Denmark wins next year, the run of a different winning country each year will remain the same as now, 4 years (2014 to 2017).

If Austria, Sweden or Ukraine wins next year, the run of different winning countries each year will be reduced accordingly. For example, if Austria wins next year, one will need to start the new list at Sweden 2015 and finish with Austria 2017, i.e. a 3 year run of a different winning country each year.

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Gaps Between Wins

Ukraine won the Eurovision Song Contest 2016. That means a 12 year gap between its first ever win in 2004 and its latest win in 2016. Since this is Ukraine's second win to-date, this is the first time Ukraine has appeared on this table. Furthermore Ukraine is the first country to have a 12 year gap between wins in the history of the Contest.

The following table shows the gaps between wins for every country that has won more than once. Where a country has won more than twice (and hence has more than one gap between wins), all gaps between wins for that country are shown. Ireland has won seven times to-date, and therefore has six entries in the table below.

The following table, and notes beneath it, ignore the fact that some countries missed one or more years between wins. Austria currently holds the record for longest gap between wins: 48 years (1966 - 2014). Between its wins in 1966 and 2014, it missed several years (1969, 1970, 1973, 1974, 1975, 1998, 2001, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010).

Country	Years Between Wins	From	To
Austria	48	1966	2014
Denmark	37	1963	2000
Switzerland	32	1956	1988
Germany	28	1982	2010
Italy	26	1964	1990
Israel	19	1979	1998
United Kingdom	16	1981	1997
Norway	14	1995	2009
Sweden	13	1999	2012
Denmark	13	2000	2013
Ukraine	12	2004	2016
The Netherlands	10	1959	1969
Ireland	10	1970	1980
Luxembourg	10	1973	1983
Sweden	10	1974	1984
Norway	10	1985	1995
France	8	1969	1977
Sweden	8	1991	1999
France	7	1962	1969
Luxembourg	7	1965	1972
United Kingdom	7	1969	1976
Ireland	7	1980	1987
Sweden	7	1984	1991
The Netherlands	6	1969	1975
United Kingdom	5	1976	1981
Ireland	5	1987	1992
Luxembourg	4	1961	1965
Sweden	3	2012	2015
The Netherlands	2	1957	1959
France	2	1958	1960
France	2	1960	1962
United Kingdom	2	1967	1969
Ireland	2	1994	1996
Spain	1	1968	1969
Luxembourg	1	1972	1973
Israel	1	1978	1979
Ireland	1	1992	1993
Ireland	1	1993	1994

The current record for longest gap between wins, 48 years will now take until at least 2018 to be broken; if Spain now take until 2018 to win again it will have had 49 years gap between wins (1969 - 2018).

If Spain wins next year, it will equal the current record for longest gap between wins, 48 years (1969 - 2017)

If any one of the following three countries wins next year, it will have the second longest gap between wins:
Monaco 46 years (1971 - 2017) (that is, if Monaco returns next year)
The Netherlands 42 years (1975 - 2017)
France 40 years (1977 - 2017)

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How Many Wins?

Finally here is a table showing how many times each country has ever won the Eurovision Song Contest from 1956 to 2016 inclusive.

Country	Number of Wins
Albania	0
Andorra	0
Armenia	0
Australia	0
Austria	2
Azerbaijan	1
Belarus	0
Belgium	1
Bosnia & Herzegovina	0
Bulgaria	0
Croatia	0
Cyprus	0
Czech Republic	0
Denmark	3
Estonia	1
F.Y.R. Macedonia	0
Finland	1
France	5
Georgia	0
Germany	2
Greece	1
Hungary	0
Iceland	0
Ireland	7
Israel	3
Italy	2
Latvia	1
Lithuania	0
Luxembourg	5
Malta	0
Moldova	0
Monaco	1
Montenegro	0
Morocco	0
Norway	3
Poland	0
Portugal	0
Romania	0
Russia	1
San Marino	0
Serbia	1
Serbia & Montenegro	0
Slovakia	0
Slovenia	0
Spain	2
Sweden	6
Switzerland	2
The Netherlands	4
Turkey	1
Ukraine	2
United Kingdom	5
Yugoslavia	1

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