Wednesday, 7 August 2019

Eurovision Song Contest 2019 Grand Final Extended Voting Analysis

Host country: Israel (Kan)
Venue: Expo Tel Aviv (International Convention Center), Tel Aviv, Israel
Hosts: Bar Refaeli, Erez Tal
Green Room: Assi Azar, Lucy Ayoub
Date: Saturday 18 May 2019

My main Eurovision Song Contest 2019 Grand Final review, including the opening act, songs, interval acts, jury voting and rapid announcement of the televoting results is available here. This supplement is intended to be read in addition to, and not instead of, that report.

N.B. Any use of "tonight" or "this evening" throughout this post means Saturday 18 May 2019. Any use of "Tuesday" means Tuesday 14 May 2019, whereas any reference to "Thursday" means Thursday 16 May 2019. All times in this post are in BST.

To make this report easier to read, I've split it into sections. Click the applicable link below to jump to the section you want to read:
Winner and Top Marks
Country Groups
Points to United Kingdom
Alternative Voting Presentation
Conclusion

Important Note About Belarusian Jury Votes
Due to unforeseen circumstances, it was necessary for the EBU to calculate a substitute jury result (based on the results of other countries with similar voting records) for Belarus in the Eurovision Song Contest 2019 Grand Final. During the voting presentation, the substitute jury points for Belarus were announced, on screen, in the same manner as the other 40 countries, and put on to the scoreboard. In the days after the Grand Final, an error in the calculation of the substitute Belarusian jury results was discovered, and thus the Belarusian jury points announced, live on screen, turned out to be incorrect. On Wednesday 22 May 2019 at 18:29 CEST (17:29 BST), the EBU issued this statement, formally confirming the error, and thus the EBU amended the 2019 Grand Final results, on the official Eurovision Song Contest website, to include the corrected Belarusian jury scores in place of the incorrect ones. Other websites displaying the ESC 2019 Grand Final results were also amended. Throughout this extended voting analysis, I have used the corrected Belarusian jury results.

Winner and Top Marks

Points Levels to Winner

Jury Voting
The 6 countries which awarded 12 jury points to North Macedonia (which won the jury vote and finished seventh overall) were: Albania, Austria, Moldova, Serbia, Switzerland, United Kingdom. 26 other countries gave between 1 and 10 jury points to North Macedonia. Interestingly North Macedonia received no 6-point scores on the jury voting. 8 countries (other than North Macedonia itself) gave no jury points at all to North Macedonia, those being Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Georgia, Israel, Lithuania, Spain, Sweden.

The 6 countries which awarded 12 jury points to The Netherlands (which finished third in the jury vote and was the overall winner) were: France, Israel, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal, Sweden. 26 other countries gave between 1 and 10 jury points to The Netherlands. Interestingly, The Netherlands received no 2-point or 4-point scores on the jury voting. 8 countries (other than The Netherlands itself) gave no jury points at all to The Netherlands, those being Albania, Azerbaijan, Greece, Italy, Montenegro, Poland, Russia, Serbia.

Norway, which finished 18th with just 40 points on jury voting (but won the televote and finished sixth overall) received no 12-point, 10-point or even 8-point scores on jury voting. Its highest individual televote score was 7 points from Moldova and Switzerland. 7 other countries gave between 1 and 6 jury points to Norway. 31 countries (other than Norway itself) gave no jury points at all to Norway.

The number of times North Macedonia, The Netherlands and Norway received each particular points level (or no points at all) from the other juries is summarised in the following table:

Points level
Jury to North Macedonia
North Macedonia Pts
Jury to The Netherlands
The Netherlands Pts
Jury to Norway
Norway Pts
0
8
0
8
0
31
0
1
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
2
6
2
6
0
0
4
1
4
0
0
2
8
5
2
10
2
10
2
10
6
0
0
8
48
1
6
7
7
49
6
42
2
14
8
4
32
6
48
0
0
10
7
70
1
10
0
0
12
6
72
6
72
0
0
TOTAL
40
247
40
237
40
40

Televoting
The 8 countries which awarded 12 televote points to Norway (which won the televote and finished sixth overall) were: Australia, Denmark, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Sweden, The Netherlands, United Kingdom. 29 other countries gave between 1 and 10 televote points to Norway. Interestingly, Norway received no 2-point scores in the televoting. Only 3 countries (other than Norway itself) gave no televote points at all to Norway, those being Georgia, Greece, Montenegro.

The Netherlands, which finished second in the televote and was the overall winner, received points from all the other 40 countries on televoting. Furthermore, The Netherlands received at least one of each points level on televoting. Belgium and Romania were the only two countries which awarded 12 televote points to The Netherlands. Amazingly, The Netherlands received far more televote points from 10s, 8s, 7s, 6s and even 5s, as can be seen in the table below. In fact, its greatest total at any particular points level was 49 televote points at the 7-point level (from 7 other countries).

North Macedonia, which finished 12th with 58 points in the televote (but won the jury vote and finished seventh overall) received 12 televote points from 2 other countries, those being Serbia and Slovenia. 9 other countries gave between 1 and 7 televote points to North Macedonia. Interestingly, North Macedonia received no 4-point, 8-point or 10-point scores on televoting. 29 countries (other than North Macedonia itself) gave no televote points at all to North Macedonia

The number of times North Macedonia, The Netherlands and Norway received each particular points level (or no points at all) in the televoting is summarised in the following table:

Points level
Tele to North Macedonia
North Macedonia Pts
Tele to The Netherlands
The Netherlands Pts
Tele to Norway
Norway Pts
0
29
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
6
1
2
0
0
3
1
3
1
3
2
6
4
0
0
3
12
2
8
5
1
5
8
40
4
20
6
2
12
7
42
2
12
7
1
7
7
49
3
21
8
0
0
6
48
7
56
10
0
0
4
40
7
70
12
2
24
2
24
8
96
TOTAL
40
58
40
261
40
291

Number of 12s Received
Jury Voting
13 of the 26 finalists received at least one 12-point vote from the juries. The number of 12-point votes received by each of those 13 countries from the juries is shown in the table below.

12 Points to
No of 12s Received
Total from 12s
Sweden
10
120
Italy
6
72
North Macedonia
6
72
The Netherlands
6
72
Czech Republic
4
48
Australia
2
24
Azerbaijan
1
12
Cyprus
1
12
Denmark
1
12
Greece
1
12
Malta
1
12
Russia
1
12
Serbia
1
12

Notice that the highest number of 12-point scores (10 altogether) was received by Sweden, which finished second in the jury vote with 241 points and fifth overall with 334 points. North Macedonia (jury vote winner and seventh place overall), The Netherlands (third in the jury vote and overall winner) and Italy (fourth in the jury vote and second overall) all received the second highest number of 12-point scores (6 each). Thus, neither the jury vote winner nor the overall winner received the highest number of 12-point scores from the juries. Seven countries (Azerbaijan, Cyprus, Denmark, Greece, Malta, Russia, Serbia) each received just one 12-point score from the juries. Of those, Cyprus, Denmark, Greece and Serbia finished below the top ten in the jury vote. Clearly one 12-point jury score wasn't enough to guarantee a top 10 place in the jury voting.

Televoting
15 of the 26 finalists received at least one 12-point vote from the televoting. The number of 12-point votes received by each of those 15 countries in the televoting is shown in the table below.

12 Points to
No of 12s Received
Total from 12s
Russia
11
132
Norway
8
96
Italy
4
48
Iceland
3
36
Albania
2
24
Cyprus
2
24
North Macedonia
2
24
The Netherlands
2
24
Azerbaijan
1
12
Greece
1
12
Israel
1
12
Serbia
1
12
Spain
1
12
Sweden
1
12
Switzerland
1
12

Notice that the highest number of 12-point scores (11 altogether) was received by Russia, which finished fourth in the televote with 244 points, and third with 370 points overall. The second highest number of 12-point scores (8 altogether) was received by Norway, which won the televote with 291 points, but finished sixth overall with 331 points. Bizarrely, The Netherlands, which finished second in the televote with 261 points, and was the overall winner with 498 points, received just two 12-point scores in the televoting. Thus, neither the televote winner nor the overall winner received the highest number of 12-point televote scores. Seven countries (Azerbaijan, Greece, Israel, Serbia, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland) each received just one 12-point score in the televoting. Of those, Greece, Israel, Serbia and Spain all finished below the top ten in the televote. Clearly one 12-point televote score wasn't enough to guarantee a top 10 place in the televoting.

All 12 Points
Jury Voting
The complete list of 12 jury point scores awarded to North Macedonia (jury vote winner and seventh place overall), The Netherlands (jury vote third place and overall winner) and Norway (jury vote 18th place and sixth place overall) is shown below. Please note that the jury scores given by Belarus are the corrected ones, as officially announced by the EBU on Wednesday 22 May 2019.

#
From Country
12 Points to
North Macedonia
The Netherlands
Norway
15
Albania
North Macedonia
12
0
0
20
Armenia
Sweden
10
6
0
23
Australia
Sweden
7
6
0
12
Austria
North Macedonia
12
8
1
2
Azerbaijan
Russia
8
0
0
19
Belarus
Malta
10
6
0
26
Belgium
Italy
0
6
0
28
Croatia
Italy
10
6
0
22
Cyprus
Greece
0
5
0
35
Czech Republic
Sweden
7
6
0
36
Denmark
Sweden
10
7
5
8
Estonia
Sweden
0
7
0
38
Finland
Sweden
7
8
0
37
France
The Netherlands
7
12
0
32
Georgia
Czech Republic
0
8
0
25
Germany
Italy
7
8
5
33
Greece
Cyprus
1
0
0
16
Hungary
Czech Republic
10
1
0
31
Iceland
Sweden
8
7
0
18
Ireland
Sweden
5
8
6
41
Israel
The Netherlands
0
12
0
14
Italy
Denmark
10
0
0
34
Latvia
The Netherlands
8
12
0
29
Lithuania
The Netherlands
0
12
0
3
Malta
Italy
3
7
0
17
Moldova
North Macedonia
12
3
7
7
Montenegro
Serbia
7
0
0
4
North Macedonia
Italy
n/a
7
0
10
Norway
Czech Republic
10
7
n/a
9
Poland
Australia
8
0
1
1
Portugal
The Netherlands
5
12
4
21
Romania
Australia
7
5
0
24
Russia
Azerbaijan
4
0
0
5
San Marino
Italy
1
3
0
30
Serbia
North Macedonia
12
0
0
40
Slovenia
Czech Republic
2
6
0
11
Spain
Sweden
0
8
0
27
Sweden
The Netherlands
0
12
4
39
Switzerland
North Macedonia
12
10
7
6
The Netherlands
Sweden
3
n/a
0
13
United Kingdom
North Macedonia
12
6
0



247
237
40

Televoting
The complete list of 12 televote point scores awarded to North Macedonia (12th in the televote and seventh overall), The Netherlands (second in the televote and overall winner) and Norway (televote winner and sixth overall) is shown below:

From Country
12 Points to
North Macedonia
The Netherlands
Norway
Albania
Russia
6
7
5
Armenia
Russia
0
10
5
Australia
Norway
0
6
12
Austria
Switzerland
0
7
8
Azerbaijan
Russia
3
7
1
Belarus
Russia
0
10
8
Belgium
The Netherlands
0
12
7
Croatia
Italy
7
4
5
Cyprus
Greece
0
6
1
Czech Republic
Russia
0
4
10
Denmark
Norway
0
7
12
Estonia
Russia
0
8
10
Finland
Iceland
0
5
10
France
Israel
0
5
8
Georgia
Cyprus
2
5
0
Germany
Norway
0
7
12
Greece
Cyprus
0
6
0
Hungary
Iceland
0
8
10
Iceland
Norway
0
5
12
Ireland
Norway
0
8
12
Israel
Russia
0
2
10
Italy
Albania
0
5
10
Latvia
Russia
0
5
8
Lithuania
Russia
0
7
8
Malta
Italy
5
10
7
Moldova
Russia
0
6
3
Montenegro
Serbia
6
1
0
North Macedonia
Albania
n/a
7
5
Norway
Sweden
0
8
n/a
Poland
Iceland
0
10
8
Portugal
Spain
0
8
6
Romania
The Netherlands
0
12
4
Russia
Azerbaijan
0
5
10
San Marino
Russia
0
6
3
Serbia
North Macedonia
12
3
4
Slovenia
North Macedonia
12
5
6
Spain
Italy
0
8
7
Sweden
Norway
2
6
12
Switzerland
Italy
2
6
8
The Netherlands
Norway
1
n/a
12
United Kingdom
Norway
0
4
12


58
261
291

24 Points
Obviously, the maximum combined score a country can give to, or receive from another country is 24 points, that being 12 jury points and 12 televoting points. 8 of the 41 voting countries gave their 12 jury points and 12 televoting points to the same finalist, those being:

From Country
12+12 Points to
Azerbaijan
Russia
Croatia
Italy
Cyprus
Greece
Greece
Cyprus
Malta
Italy
Montenegro
Serbia
Russia
Azerbaijan
Serbia
North Macedonia

The number of 12 jury points + 12 televoting points received by each of those 8 countries is summarised in the table below. This time no country received more than two 24-point combined scores. Italy was the only country which received two 24-point combined scores.

12+12 Points to
No of 24s Received
Total from 24s
Azerbaijan
1
24
Cyprus
1
24
Greece
1
24
Italy
2
48
North Macedonia
1
24
Russia
1
24
Serbia
1
24

8
192

Back to the top

Country Groups
Now for a look at points awarded within certain groups of countries. N.B. In the following tables, boxes for a particular country to itself (e.g. from Denmark to Denmark) are marked "n/a" rather than 0, as no country can vote for itself.

Nordic Area
Four of the five Nordic countries (Denmark, Iceland, Norway, Sweden) qualified for the Grand Final this year, but all five Nordic countries voted in the final as follows. Finland, which was eliminated in the semi-finals, could only give and not receive points this time.

Jury Voting

From Country
Jury to Denmark
Jury to Iceland
Jury to Norway
Jury to Sweden
Denmark
n/a
0
5
12
Finland
0
0
0
12
Iceland
0
n/a
0
12
Norway
4
0
n/a
8
Sweden
0
0
4
n/a
Group Total
4
0
9
44
Overall Jury Total
69
46
40
241
% of Jury Total
5.80%
0.00%
22.50%
18.26%

The way in which the five Nordic countries awarded (or didn't award) jury points to the four Nordic finalists is somewhat surprising this year (of course Denmark, Iceland, Norway and Sweden could not vote for themselves). Sweden fared best with jury points from other Nordic countries. Sweden received three 12-point scores and one 8-point score from other members of this group. Even so, the resulting group total of 44 jury points was only 18.26% of its overall total of 241 points. The remaining ‭197‬ jury points that Sweden received were from outside this group.‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬

Norway and Denmark both fared considerably less well with jury scores from the other Nordic countries. Iceland received no points at all from the other Nordic countries, hence all of its 46 jury points were from countries outside this group. All this blew out of the window anyone's expectation of Denmark, Iceland, Norway and Sweden giving their 8, 10 and 12 jury points to each other, and the non-qualified Finland giving its 7, 8, 10 and 12 jury points to the four Nordic finalists.

Televoting

From Country
Tele to Denmark
Tele to Iceland
Tele to Norway
Tele to Sweden
Denmark
n/a
4
12
10
Finland
0
12
10
7
Iceland
4
n/a
12
8
Norway
5
10
n/a
12
Sweden
7
8
12
n/a
Group Total
16
34
46
37
Overall Tele Total
51
186
291
93
% of Tele Total
31.37%
18.28%
15.81%
39.78%

As can be seen in this table, far more points were exchanged between the Nordic countries on televoting than on jury voting. Norway received the most televote points from other Nordic countries, that being three 12-point scores and one 10-point score. Even so, the resulting group total of 46 televote points was just 15.81% of Norway's winning televote score of 291 points. Thus, most of Norway's televote points (245 altogether) had to come from outside the Nordic group. Denmark, Iceland and Sweden all received fewer televote points within this group, however their group totals turned out to be higher percentages of their overall televote totals than that of Norway.

Baltic States (Ex USSR)
Only one member of this group, Estonia qualified for the Grand Final. The other two members, Latvia and Lithuania failed to qualify. The upshot of this was that Latvia and Lithuania were able to give jury and televoting points to Estonia, but Estonia could not give jury or televote points to Latvia or Lithuania. For this reason, Estonia is omitted from the awarding countries within this group.

Jury Voting

From Country
Jury to Estonia
Latvia
5
Lithuania
0
Group Total
5
Overall Jury Total
28
% of Jury Total
17.86%

Latvia gave just 5 jury points to Estonia, and Lithuania gave no jury points to Estonia. Thus, Estonia received just 5 of its 28 jury points (17.86%) from within this group. Most of Estonia's jury points were from outside this trio of ex-USSR countries. That blew anyone's expectation that Latvia and Lithuania would each give 12 jury points to Estonia.

Televoting

From Country
Tele to Estonia
Latvia
10
Lithuania
4
Group Total
14
Overall Tele Total
48
% of Tele Total
29.17%

Estonia fared better on televoting; 10 points from Latvia and another 4 points from Lithuania. Nonetheless, the 14 televote points which Estonia received within this group were less than a third of the 48 televote points Estonia received altogether. More than two thirds of Estonia's televote points came from outside this group.

Ex-Yugoslavia
Three ex-Yugoslav countries (North Macedonia, Serbia, Slovenia) qualified for the Grand Final this year. Of course, the other two ex-Yugoslav countries (Croatia, Montenegro) which took part in the semi-finals but failed to qualify still voted in the Grand Final, however they could only give and not receive jury and televoting points in the final.

Jury Voting

From Country
Jury to North Macedonia
Jury to Serbia
Jury to Slovenia
Croatia
10
4
0
Montenegro
7
12
0
North Macedonia
n/a
0
0
Serbia
12
n/a
0
Slovenia
2
0
n/a
Group Total
31
16
0
Overall Jury Total
247
35
46
% of Jury Total
12.55%
45.71%
0.00%

The way in which jury points were exchanged within this group is interesting. North Macedonia, which won the jury vote, received points from all the other ex-Yugoslav countries, including 12 jury points from Serbia and 10 jury points from Croatia. Thus, North Macedonia scored the most points from other members of this group (31 altogether), but that was still only 12.55% of its total jury score of 247 points. The rest of its points had to come from outside this group. Serbia fared second best on points from other members, including 12 jury points from Montenegro, however Serbia received no jury points from North Macedonia or Slovenia. Oddly enough, Slovenia received no jury points at all from other members of this group. This shows that the ex-Yugoslav countries don't necessarily give jury points to each other.

Televoting

From Country
Tele to North Macedonia
Tele to Serbia
Tele to Slovenia
Croatia
7
8
10
Montenegro
6
12
4
North Macedonia
n/a
10
2
Serbia
12
n/a
10
Slovenia
12
10
n/a
Group Total
37
40
26
Overall Tele Total
58
54
59
% of Tele Total
63.79%
74.07%
44.07%

As can be seen from this table, far more televote points were distributed among the ex-Yugoslav countries. All three ex-Yugoslav finalists gave televote points to the other two ex-Yugoslav finalists, and the two non-qualifiers of this group (Croatia and Montenegro) gave televote points to all three ex-Yugoslav finalists. North Macedonia, Serbia and Slovenia all amassed higher group totals, and higher percentages of their overall televote totals, from within this group on televoting than they did on jury voting. Even so, all three had to get their remaining televote points from outside this group. Interestingly, Slovenia got the lowest group total on televoting (26 televote points), just like on jury voting (zero points). Notice that Slovenia received just 4 televote points from Montenegro, and 2 televote points from North Macedonia. This blew out of the window anyone's expectation that North Macedonia, Serbia and Slovenia would each give 10 and 12 televote points to the other two ex-Yugoslav finalists, and that Croatia and Montenegro would each give their 8, 10 and 12 televote points to the three ex-Yugoslav finalists.

English Speaking Countries
Another group worth looking at here are the English-speaking countries Australia, Ireland, Malta and the United Kingdom. Within this group, the United Kingdom automatically qualified for the Grand Final as a Big Five member. Of the other three countries which took part in the semi-finals, Australia and Malta qualified for the Grand Final, whereas Ireland failed to qualify. Of course, Ireland still voted in the Grand Final, but could only give and not receive jury and televoting points in the final.

Jury Voting

From Country
Jury to Australia
Jury to Malta
Jury to UK
Australia
n/a
0
0
Ireland
4
0
0
Malta
0
n/a
0
United Kingdom
8
0
n/a
Group Total
12
0
0
Overall Jury Total
153
87
8
% of Jury Total
7.84%
0.00%
0.00%

Australia was the only finalist within this group to receive any jury points from other members of this group, that being 4 points from Ireland and 8 points from the United Kingdom. The resulting group total of 12 jury points was just 7.84% of Australia's jury total of 153 points. Thus, most of Australia's jury points were from outside this group. Neither Malta nor the United Kingdom received jury points from within this group, hence all their jury points came from outside this group.

Televoting

From Country
Tele to Australia
Tele to Malta
Tele to UK
Australia
n/a
4
0
Ireland
10
0
3
Malta
3
n/a
0
United Kingdom
10
0
n/a
Group Total
23
4
3
Overall Tele Total
131
20
3
% of Tele Total
17.56%
20.00%
100.00%

All three finalists within this group achieved higher group totals, and higher percentages of their overall televoting totals. Australia received the most points from other members of this group, including 10 points from both Ireland and the United Kingdom. Altogether Australia received 23 out of 131 televote points from within this group, and Malta received 4 out of 20 televote points from within this group. Consequently, Australia and Malta received most of their televoting points from outside this group. The United Kingdom received just 3 televote points, all of which were from Ireland, and therefore all from within this group.

Central Europe
Another group I have included this year is the Central European countries Austria, Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary, Poland, Slovenia and Switzerland. Within this group, Germany automatically qualified for the Grand Final as a Big Five member. Of the other six countries which took part in the semi-finals, Czech Republic, Slovenia and Switzerland qualified for the Grand Final. Austria, Hungary and Poland, all of which failed to qualify, were only able to give, and not receive, jury and televoting points in the Grand Final.

Jury Voting

From Country
Jury to Czech Republic
Jury to Germany
Jury to Slovenia
Jury to Switzerland
Austria
3
0
0
10
Czech Republic
n/a
0
10
0
Germany
0
n/a
0
6
Hungary
12
0
0
3
Poland
0
0
10
0
Slovenia
12
0
n/a
5
Switzerland
0
6
0
n/a
Group Total
27
6
20
24
Overall Jury Total
150
24
46
152
% of Jury Total
18.00%
25.00%
43.48%
15.79%

This group seems a bit more complicated with countries favouring one another. As far as giving points goes, (i) Hungary and Slovenia both gave top marks to Czech Republic; (ii) Czech Republic and Poland both gave 10 jury points to Slovenia; (iii) Austria gave 10 jury points to Switzerland. With regards to receiving points, Slovenia did considerably better within this group than in the Ex-Yugoslavia group. Nonetheless, Slovenia received just 20 jury points out of the 46 jury points it ended up with. Czech Republic received the highest absolute total number of jury points from within this group, that being 27 jury points, but that was still only 18.00% of the 150 jury points it received altogether. All four finalists within this group needed to get most of their points from outside this group.

Televoting

From Country
Tele to Czech Republic
Tele to Germany
Tele to Slovenia
Tele to Switzerland
Austria
0
0
2
12
Czech Republic
n/a
0
0
5
Germany
0
n/a
3
10
Hungary
0
0
3
5
Poland
1
0
4
5
Slovenia
0
0
n/a
4
Switzerland
0
0
0
n/a
Group Total
1
0
12
41
Overall Tele Total
7
0
59
212
% of Tele Total
14.29%
Incalculable
20.34%
19.34%

Here Austria and Germany have both been particularly generous to Switzerland. In fact, Switzerland received the highest absolute group total of 41 televote points here. Nonetheless, that was less than a fifth of the 212 televote points Switzerland received altogether. Czech Republic, Slovenia and Switzerland all had to get most of their televote points from outside this group. Of course, Germany received no televote points at all, let alone within this group.

Other
Unsurprisingly Greece and Cyprus, both of whom qualified for the Grand Final, gave each other 12 jury points and 12 televoting points.

Portugal, which failed to qualify, gave no jury points at all to Spain. That blew out of the window anyone's expectation that Portugal would give its 12 jury points to Spain. However, Portugal gave its 12 televoting points to Spain. Obviously, Spain wasn't able to give any jury or televoting points to Portugal this year.

Belgium, which also failed to qualify, gave just 6 jury points to The Netherlands. That blew out of the window anyone's expectation that Belgium would automatically give its 12 jury points to The Netherlands (for the record, Belgium gave its 12 jury points to Italy). However, Belgium gave 12 televote points to The Netherlands, which was hardly surprising. Obviously, The Netherlands weren't able to give jury or televoting points to Belgium.

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Points to United Kingdom
5 countries gave jury points to the UK, as follows:

From Country
Jury to UK
Armenia
2
Hungary
2
Norway
2
Georgia
1
Switzerland
1
TOTAL
8

Ireland was the only country which gave the UK any televoting points this year; Ireland gave the UK 3 televote points.

Interestingly the 5 countries in the above table gave the UK no televoting points and Ireland gave the UK no jury points. Thus, no country gave the UK both jury points and televoting points this year.

The number of times the UK received each particular points level in the jury voting and televoting is summarised in the following table:

Points level
Jury to UK
UK Jury Points
Tele to UK
UK Tele Points
0
35
0
39
0
1
2
2
0
0
2
3
6
0
0
3
0
0
1
3
4
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
0
0
6
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
8
0
0
0
0
10
0
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
TOTAL
40
8
40
3

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Alternative Voting Presentation
During the Eurovision Song Contest 2019 Grand Final, the jury voting points from each of the participating 41 countries (including the 15 non-qualifiers) were presented in the traditional way, i.e. for each country the 1 to 10 point scores were displayed on screen when the spokesperson appeared, added to the scoreboard as a block and the spokesperson announced the 12-point score. The voting order was: Portugal, Azerbaijan, Malta, North Macedonia, San Marino, The Netherlands, Montenegro, Estonia, Poland, Norway, Spain, Austria, United Kingdom, Italy, Albania, Hungary, Moldova, Ireland, Belarus, Armenia, Romania, Cyprus, Australia, Russia, Germany, Belgium, Sweden, Croatia, Lithuania, Serbia, Iceland, Georgia, Greece, Latvia, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Finland, Switzerland, Slovenia, Israel.

This whole process took about 38 minutes. After a short break, Erez and Bar announced the televoting totals for each of the 26 finalists, one by one, starting with the country which had the lowest jury score and finishing with the country with the highest jury score. For countries which finished in the top ten of the televote and/or jury vote, Green Room shots of the applicable artists were shown. This process, from start to finish, took about 11 minutes.

Following the error in the Belarusian aggregated jury results, Spain appeared to be the lowest placed country in the jury vote, and Sweden appeared to be the country with the highest jury score, hence Erez and Bar announced the televote total for Spain first and Sweden last. In the days following the Eurovision Song Contest 2019 Grand Final, the human error in the Belarusian aggregated jury results came to light, and on Wednesday 22 May 2019 at 18:29 CEST (17:29 BST), the EBU issued a statement confirming the error, and thus corrected the scores on the Eurovision Song Contest website.

Jury Voting First, Televoting Last

As Grand Final with Corrected Jury Scores
What if the aggregated jury scores for Belarus had been calculated correctly in the first place, and thus the correct set of "jury" points had been announced by Maria Vasilevich whilst the jury results were announced, country by country? Firstly, the scoreboard would have ended up like this when all 41 countries had announced their jury points.

1
North Macedonia
247
14
Greece
50
2
Sweden
241
15
Slovenia
46
3
The Netherlands
237
16
Iceland
46
4
Italy
219
17
Albania
43
5
Azerbaijan
202
18
Norway
40
6
Australia
153
19
Serbia
35
7
Switzerland
152
20
Estonia
28
8
Czech Republic
150
21
Germany
24
9
Russia
126
22
Belarus
18
10
Malta
87
23
San Marino
12
11
Cyprus
77
24
United Kingdom
8
12
Denmark
69
25
Spain
1
13
France
67
26
Israel
0

When Erez and Bar announced the 26 finalists' televoting totals, the order would have differed quite a bit from the order they actually announced the televoting totals on the night. Not only would they have started with Israel (instead of Spain) and ended with North Macedonia (instead of Sweden), but a fair few countries in between would have been announced earlier or later than they actually were. This is the order in which the announcements would have been made, along with momentary adjustments to placings. Comments that Graham Norton would / might have made on BBC One / BBC One HD in the UK are in square brackets.

Erez: As we said, we begin with the country that is now in last place, it's Israel, and Israel received 35 points from the public voting. (taking them to 20th place initially)
Bar: We move on to Spain, and Spain gets 53 points from the public. (taking them to 14th place initially) [That's a big change]
Erez: Moving on to United Kingdom, and the public points to the United Kingdom are 3 points. (keeping them in 26th place) [Ooh that's got to hurt, poor Michael Rice, that is awful]
Bar: We move on, to San Marino, San Marino received 65 points. (taking them to 11th place initially)
Erez: Let's move on now to Belarus, the public gave you 13 points. (taking them to 23rd place initially)
Bar: We go to Germany, you received from the public votes, I'm sorry, zero points. (keeping them in 25th place) [Well, although we are beneath Germany in the leader board, we did do better in that at least somebody voted for Michael; no-one voted for Germany]
Erez: We have to move on to Estonia now, Estonia, the public gave you 48 points. (taking them to 13th place initially)
Bar: Next up is Serbia, Serbia, you received 54 points from the public votes. (taking them to 10th place initially)
Erez: Next up is Norway, Norway, are you ready, because you got 291 points. (putting them in the lead initially) [There you go, that's how this thing works, the public come along and change everything. That is sensational. It's probably not enough for a win, but I love it, how the public can change things that much.]
Bar: We move on to Albania, and Albania you received 47 points. (taking them to 11th place initially)
Erez: Let's move on to Iceland, Iceland, the pubic gave you, I said are you ready,186 points. (taking them to 5th place initially) [Wow!]
Bar: We move on to Slovenia, and Slovenia, you are with 59 points. (taking them to 12th place initially)
Erez: Moving on to Greece, Greece, get ready to receive 24 points. (taking them to 19th place initially) [Again, I thought that would have got more.]
Bar: Our next country is France, and you received, from the public votes, 38 points. (taking them to 13th place initially)
Erez: Let's move on to Denmark, and Denmark received 51 points. (taking them to 12th place initially) [Not bad]
Bar: Next up is Cyprus, Cyprus, the public gave you 32 points. (taking them to 13th place initially)
Erez: Let's move on to Malta, Malta, the public gave you 20 points. (taking them to their final position,14th place) [It does seem a harsh way of doing this with a close-up of that girl's face]
Bar: Next up is Russia, Russia, you received 244 points. (putting Russia in the lead)
Erez: And Russia, you're now in the lead, first place right now. Let's move on ... [Now he topped the public vote the last time he performed]
Erez: … Czech Republic, 7 points. (taking them to 9th place initially) [Ooh, poor boys, that's gutting]
Bar: Moving on to Switzerland, get ready to get 212 points. (taking them to 2nd place initially) [Wow, great result for them, but he's not a winner tonight, Celine remains the Swiss winner]
Erez: Let's move to Australia, Australia, you're getting, from the public, 131 points. (taking them to 4th place initially) [We thought she might win it, but no]
Bar: We move on to Azerbaijan, and the public gave you 100 points. (taking them to 4th place initially) [A surprise there. This voting is very, very strange this year]
Erez: Next is Italy, Italy are you ready? Italy 253 points … and they're now in the lead.

At this point the scoreboard would have looked like this (countries which had already received their televote totals are in bold):

1
Italy
472
14
Malta
107
2
Russia
370
15
Slovenia
105
3
Switzerland
364
16
France
105
4
Norway
331
17
Albania
90
5
Azerbaijan
302
18
Serbia
89
6
Australia
284
19
San Marino
77
7
North Macedonia
247
20
Estonia
76
8
Sweden
241
21
Greece
74
9
The Netherlands
237
22
Spain
54
10
Iceland
232
23
Israel
35
11
Czech Republic
157
24
Belarus
31
12
Denmark
120
25
Germany
24
13
Cyprus
109
26
United Kingdom
11

There would now have been only four possible winners: Italy (currently in the lead), or one of the three countries still awaiting their televote points (The Netherlands, Sweden, North Macedonia). Green Room shots of the artists representing North Macedonia (top left), Sweden (top right), Italy (bottom left) and The Netherlands (bottom right) would have been displayed in four windows on screen during the next announcement.

Erez: Now let's move on to The Netherlands, The Netherlands are getting, from the public, 261 points, and now The Netherlands are in first place. So, the winner can be either The Netherlands, or one of the two countries that haven't received their points, Sweden or North Macedonia.

Green Room shots of the artists representing The Netherlands, Sweden and North Macedonia would have been shown, left to right, across the screen, before continuing.

Bar: Moving on, next country Sweden, the public decided to give you, Sweden, you received 93 points. (taking them to 5th place initially) [Poor old John Lundvik there, what a slap in the face for him!]

Erez: Either, The Netherlands or North Macedonia, one of you is the winner of the Eurovision Song Contest 2019. (Green Room shots of the artists representing The Netherlands and North Macedonia would have been shown, left to right, across the screen) North Macedonia, they have to get more than 251 points to pass The Netherlands. Will they get that? … How much points do they get from the public? 58 points. (taking them to their final position, 7th place) [Oh, that's very similar to what happened to Austria last year. But that is it, the bookies got it right all along, Duncan Laurence is bringing the Eurovision Song Contest back to The Netherlands.]

The final scoreboard would have looked like this:

1
The Netherlands
498
14
Malta
107
2
Italy
472
15
Slovenia
105
3
Russia
370
16
France
105
4
Switzerland
364
17
Albania
90
5
Sweden
334
18
Serbia
89
6
Norway
331
19
San Marino
77
7
North Macedonia
305
20
Estonia
76
8
Azerbaijan
302
21
Greece
74
9
Australia
284
22
Spain
54
10
Iceland
232
23
Israel
35
11
Czech Republic
157
24
Belarus
31
12
Denmark
120
25
Germany
24
13
Cyprus
109
26
United Kingdom
11

Televote Totals Last to First
What if, after the 41 countries' jury points had been put on the scoreboard in the manner they were (from Portugal to Israel), the televote totals had been announced in the way they were from 2016 to 2018 inclusive, going from the finalist that finished last in the televote to the finalist that finished first in the televote? For this description, I've started with the corrected final jury scoreboard (which includes the rectified set of "jury" points from Belarus), as shown below.

1
North Macedonia
247
14
Greece
50
2
Sweden
241
15
Slovenia
46
3
The Netherlands
237
16
Iceland
46
4
Italy
219
17
Albania
43
5
Azerbaijan
202
18
Norway
40
6
Australia
153
19
Serbia
35
7
Switzerland
152
20
Estonia
28
8
Czech Republic
150
21
Germany
24
9
Russia
126
22
Belarus
18
10
Malta
87
23
San Marino
12
11
Cyprus
77
24
United Kingdom
8
12
Denmark
69
25
Spain
1
13
France
67
26
Israel
0

Afterwards Erez and Bar would have announced the televote totals for each of the 26 finalists, starting with the bottom 16 from 26th to 11th, in rapid succession, as follows. N.B. I have simulated the procedure by inserting the televote totals alongside the jury totals into a spreadsheet and sorting it as each televote total was added. This is how I've been able to describe country movements on the scoreboard. To see all the simultaneous movements by multiple counties as each televote total would have been read out, one would need an animated graphic simulation of the scoreboard. Comments that Graham Norton might have said are shown in square brackets.

0 points to Germany (keeping them in 21st place for now)
3 points to the United Kingdom (keeping them in 24th place for now) [Ooh that's got to hurt, poor Michael Rice, that is awful]
7 points to Czech Republic (taking them to 6th place initially)
13 points to Belarus (taking them to 20th place initially) [Well, whatever Spain and Israel get now, we're (the UK) going to end up last]
20 points to Malta (keeping them in 10th place for now)
24 points to Greece (taking them to 12th place initially)
32 points to Cyprus (taking them to 10th place initially)
35 points to Israel (taking them to 20th place initially)
38 points to France (taking them to 12th place initially)
47 points to Albania (taking them to 13th place initially)
48 points to Estonia (taking them to 14th place initially)
51 points to Denmark (taking them to 10th place initially)
53 points to Spain (taking them to 17th place initially). [So the UK is now last.]
54 points to Serbia (taking them to 15th place initially)
58 points to North Macedonia (keeping them in 1st place for now). [Well that changes everything, we won't be going to North Macedonia next year.]
59 points to Slovenia (taking them to 13th place initially)

The scoreboard would have looked like this after the bottom 16 televote totals were announced (countries which had already received their televote totals are in bold).

1
North Macedonia
305
14
France
105
2
Sweden
241
15
Albania
90
3
The Netherlands
237
16
Serbia
89
4
Italy
219
17
Estonia
76
5
Azerbaijan
202
18
Greece
74
6
Czech Republic
157
19
Spain
54
7
Australia
153
20
Iceland
46
8
Switzerland
152
21
Norway
40
9
Russia
126
22
Israel
35
10
Denmark
120
23
Belarus
31
11
Cyprus
109
24
Germany
24
12
Malta
107
25
San Marino
12
13
Slovenia
105
26
United Kingdom
11

The countries placed 10th to 4th would have been announced at a much slower pace. Erez and Bar would (almost certainly) have announced the recipients of the top ten televote totals alternately. Each time the applicable country's score would have been updated and repositioned on the scoreboard, and viewers would have seen a brief shot of the applicable artist in the Green Room.

The country that got the 10th highest score, with 65 points is San Marino (taking them to 17th place initially)
The country that got the 9th highest score, with 93 points is Sweden, putting them in the lead.
The country that got the 8th highest score, with 100 points is Azerbaijan (taking them to 3rd place initially)
The country that got the 7th highest score, with 131 points is Australia (taking them to 4th place initially)
The country that got the 6th highest score, with 186 points is Iceland (taking them to 6th place initially)
The country that got the 5th highest score, with 212 points is Switzerland, putting them in the lead.
The country that got the 4th highest score, with 244 points is Russia, and now they're in the lead.

At this point the scoreboard would have looked like this (countries which had already received their televote totals are in bold):

1
Russia
370
14
Slovenia
105
2
Switzerland
364
15
France
105
3
Sweden
334
16
Albania
90
4
North Macedonia
305
17
Serbia
89
5
Azerbaijan
302
18
San Marino
77
6
Australia
284
19
Estonia
76
7
The Netherlands
237
20
Greece
74
8
Iceland
232
21
Spain
54
9
Italy
219
22
Norway
40
10
Czech Republic
157
23
Israel
35
11
Denmark
120
24
Belarus
31
12
Cyprus
109
25
Germany
24
13
Malta
107
26
United Kingdom
11

With just three countries (The Netherlands, Italy, Norway) still awaiting their televote points, Russia would have been currently in the lead with its final score of 370 points. Erez or Bar would have said "The winner can now be Russia, who are currently in the lead, or one of the three countries that haven't received their points from the public vote, that's The Netherlands, Italy or Norway". Green Room shots of the artists representing Russia, The Netherlands, Italy and Norway would have been shown in four on-screen windows before continuing.

I've done the maths, and discovered there would have been 805 televote points to share among The Netherlands, Italy and Norway at this point. However, the least either The Netherlands or Italy could have now got from the public would have been 244 points (just like Russia). Even if The Netherlands and Italy had both received 244 televote points each, their final scores would have been The Netherlands 481 points, Italy 463 points, thereby causing both of them to leapfrog Russia. That scenario would have left 317 televote points for Norway, taking its final score to 357 points. What all this boils down to, it would have now been mathematically impossible for Russia to hold its lead and win, or for Norway to get enough points to win. Of course, if this method of announcing the televote totals had been used, viewers would barely have had time to keep up with putting the amounts into a calculator or spreadsheet, especially whilst the bottom 16 totals were announced in rapid succession.

Anyway, Erez and Bar would have continued as follows.
The country that got the 3rd highest score, with 253 points is Italy, putting them in the lead. So, the winner can now be either Italy, or one of the two countries that haven't received their points, The Netherlands or Norway.

Green Room shots of the artists representing Italy, The Netherlands and Norway would have been shown, left to right, across the screen, before continuing.

The country that got the 2nd highest score, with 261 points is The Netherlands, and they're now in the lead. [I think The Netherlands have won].

The favourite, according to you at home, is Norway, but will they get enough points to pass The Netherlands, who are currently in the lead? Norway now need 459 points or more to pass The Netherlands. [I don't think Norway can do it; I doubt if there are anywhere near that many points left]. (Green Room shots of the artists representing The Netherlands and Norway would have been shown, left to right, across the screen.) The public gave Norway 291 points, which is not enough to pass The Netherlands (this would have taken Norway to 6th place). So, the winner of the Eurovision Song Contest 2019 is The Netherlands.

The final scoreboard would have looked like this:

1
The Netherlands
498
14
Malta
107
2
Italy
472
15
Slovenia
105
3
Russia
370
16
France
105
4
Switzerland
364
17
Albania
90
5
Sweden
334
18
Serbia
89
6
Norway
331
19
San Marino
77
7
North Macedonia
305
20
Estonia
76
8
Azerbaijan
302
21
Greece
74
9
Australia
284
22
Spain
54
10
Iceland
232
23
Israel
35
11
Czech Republic
157
24
Belarus
31
12
Denmark
120
25
Germany
24
13
Cyprus
109
26
United Kingdom
11

Televoting First, Jury Totals Last
What would have happened if the televoting points from each calling country had been announced by the 41 spokespersons first? Let's assume the order of presentation was the same as was used for announcement of the jury points, as specified above.

A few things are obvious:
Norway would have finished 1st with 291 points and The Netherlands would have finished 2nd with
261 points (a margin of 30 points).
The United Kingdom would have received points once only (3 from Ireland) and ended up 25th with 3 points.
Germany would have finished last with zero points.

The following are speculated. Although all the jury points and televoting points each of the 41 countries awarded to the finalists are available on eurovision.tv, the only way to confirm the following would be able to create a graphic simulation of the scoreboard, starting with the finalists on zero in the order they performed, and each of the 41 countries' televoting points (1 to 12) being added in the order mentioned above.
For some of the voting a "cat and mouse" situation might have occurred between Norway and The Netherlands.
From some point, Norway would almost certainly have held its lead to the end.
A few countries towards the end, Norway would almost certainly have become uncatchable on televoting points alone.

Once all 41 spokespersons had finished announcing their televoting points, the scoreboard would have looked like this.

1
Norway
291
14
Spain
53
2
The Netherlands
261
15
Denmark
51
3
Italy
253
16
Estonia
48
4
Russia
244
17
Albania
47
5
Switzerland
212
18
France
38
6
Iceland
186
19
Israel
35
7
Australia
131
20
Cyprus
32
8
Azerbaijan
100
21
Greece
24
9
Sweden
93
22
Malta
20
10
San Marino
65
23
Belarus
13
11
Slovenia
59
24
Czech Republic
7
12
North Macedonia
58
25
United Kingdom
3
13
Serbia
54
26
Germany
0

A short break would have been held, during which Lucy would have spoken to KEiiNO from Norway, congratulating them for having won the public vote.

Two methods of announcing the 26 finalists' jury totals are outlined below.

Jury Totals Going Up Televote Scoreboard
The exact opposite of what happened in the Eurovision Song Contest 2019 Grand Final. Erez and Bar would have started with the country that finished bottom of the televote (Germany), and worked their way up the scoreboard, country by country, until they reached the televote winner (Norway). Here I have simulated the procedure by inserting the jury totals alongside the televoting totals into a spreadsheet and sorting it as each jury total was added. This is how I've been able to describe country movements on the scoreboard. To see all the simultaneous movements by multiple counties as each jury total would have been read out, one would need an animated graphic simulation of the scoreboard. Comments that Graham Norton might have said are shown in square brackets.

N.B. These are the corrected jury totals, which include the rectified set of "jury" points from Belarus.

Erez: As we said, we begin with the country that is now in last place, it's Germany, and Germany received 24 points from the national juries. (taking them to 22nd place initially) [So no-one is going home with nul points tonight]
Bar: We move on to United Kingdom, and the jury points to the United Kingdom are 8 points. (taking them to 25th place initially) [Ooh that's got to hurt, poor Michael Rice, that is awful, he's not done much better with the juries]
Erez: Moving on to Czech Republic, and the Czech Republic gets 150 points from the juries. (taking them to 7th place initially) [It's extraordinary how the juries liked that song. So, they've just gone from last place to 7th, but it does mean the UK is now last.]
Bar: We move on to Belarus, Belarus received 18 points. (taking them to 22nd place initially)
Erez: Let's move on now to Malta, the juries gave you 87 points. (taking them to 9th place initially) [Another huge boost from the juries.]
Bar: Next up is Greece, Greece you received 50 points from the national juries. (taking them to 12th place initially) [That's quite a big boost from the juries for Greece too.]
Erez: Moving on to Cyprus, the juries gave you 77 points. (taking them to 9th place initially)
Bar: Next up is Israel, you received from the national juries, I'm sorry, zero points. (keeping them in 23rd place for now) [Well, although we are beneath Israel in the leader board, we did do better in that at least some juries voted for Michael; none of the juries voted for Israel]
Erez: We have to move on to France now, France, the juries gave you 67 points. (taking them to 11th place initially)
Bar: Next up is Albania, Albania you received 43 points from the national juries. (taking them to 14th place initially)
Erez: Let's move on to Estonia, and Estonia received 28 points from the juries. (taking them to 15th place initially)
Bar: Next up is Denmark, Denmark, the juries gave you 69 points. (taking them to 9th place initially)
Erez: Moving on to Spain, you received 1 point. (keeping them in 22nd place for now) [That is such a shock]
Bar: Next up is Serbia, Serbia, you received 35 points from the national juries. (taking them to 16th place initially)
Erez: Moving on to North Macedonia, North Macedonia, are you ready, because you got 247 points, and now North Macedonia are in the lead. [There you go, that's how this thing works, the juries come along and change everything. That is sensational. It almost certainly won't be enough for a win, but North Macedonia look set for their best result ever.]
Bar: We move on to Slovenia, and Slovenia, you received 46 points from the juries. (taking them to 13th place initially)
Erez: Let's move on to San Marino, the juries gave you 12 points. (taking them to 19th place initially)
Bar: Next up is Sweden, get ready to receive 241 points from the juries, and now you're in the lead. [The juries liked Sweden, it's extraordinary the disparity between the public and the juries. Again, it's probably not enough for a win, but there you go.]
Erez: Moving on to Azerbaijan, you're getting, from the juries, 202 points. (taking them to 3rd place initially)
Bar: Our next country is Australia, and the juries gave you 153 points. (taking them to 5th place initially) [We thought she might win it, but no.]
Erez: Let's move on to Iceland, Iceland, the juries gave you 46 points. (taking them to 9th place initially) [A disappointing result for them from the juries, after they did so well in the public vote.]
Bar: Moving on to Switzerland, get ready to receive 152 points from the juries, and you're now in first place. [A good result for Switzerland, but that's probably not enough for a win]
Erez: Next is Russia, the juries gave you 126 points, and you're now in the lead. So close. [So, Russia are now in the lead, though not by much. That's probably still not enough to win.]

At this point the scoreboard would have looked like this (countries which had already received their jury totals are in bold):

1
Russia
370
14
Malta
107
2
Switzerland
364
15
Slovenia
105
3
Sweden
334
16
France
105
4
North Macedonia
305
17
Albania
90
5
Azerbaijan
302
18
Serbia
89
6
Norway
291
19
San Marino
77
7
Australia
284
20
Estonia
76
8
The Netherlands
261
21
Greece
74
9
Italy
253
22
Spain
54
10
Iceland
232
23
Israel
35
11
Czech Republic
157
24
Belarus
31
12
Denmark
120
25
Germany
24
13
Cyprus
109
26
United Kingdom
11

With just three countries (Italy, The Netherlands, Norway) still awaiting their jury points, Russia would have been currently in the lead with its final score of 370 points. Erez or Bar would have said "The winner can now be Russia, who are currently in the lead, or one of the three countries that haven't received their points from the national juries, that's Italy, The Netherlands or Norway". Green Room shots of the artists representing Russia, Italy, The Netherlands and Norway would have been shown in four on-screen windows before continuing.

Erez: Now let's move on to Italy, Italy are getting, from the juries, 219 points, and now Italy are in first place. So, the winner can be either Italy, or one of the two countries that haven't received their points, The Netherlands or Norway.

At this point, Green Room shots of the artists representing Italy, The Netherlands and Norway would have been shown, left to right, across the screen, before continuing.

Bar: Moving on, next country The Netherlands, the juries decided to give you 237 points. Now, The Netherlands are in the lead.

Erez: Either, The Netherlands or Norway, one of you is the winner of the Eurovision Song Contest 2019. (Green Room shots of the artists representing The Netherlands and Norway would have been shown, left to right, across the screen.) Norway, they have to get more than 207 points to pass The Netherlands. Will they get that? … How much points do they get from the national juries? Norway gets 40 points (taking them to their final position of 6th place). [Poor KEiiNO there, what a slap in the face for them! But that is it, the bookies got it right all along, Duncan Laurence is bringing the Eurovision Song Contest back to The Netherlands.]

The final scoreboard would have looked like this

1
The Netherlands
498
14
Malta
107
2
Italy
472
15
Slovenia
105
3
Russia
370
16
France
105
4
Switzerland
364
17
Albania
90
5
Sweden
334
18
Serbia
89
6
Norway
331
19
San Marino
77
7
North Macedonia
305
20
Estonia
76
8
Azerbaijan
302
21
Greece
74
9
Australia
284
22
Spain
54
10
Iceland
232
23
Israel
35
11
Czech Republic
157
24
Belarus
31
12
Denmark
120
25
Germany
24
13
Cyprus
109
26
United Kingdom
11

At this point individual countries would have been able to announce their own national jury points. Graham Norton would almost certainly have read out the UK's national jury results to UK viewers.

Jury Totals Last to First
What if, after the 41 countries' televote points had been put on the scoreboard (from Portugal to Israel), the jury totals had been announced going from the finalist that finished last in the jury vote to the finalist that finished first in the jury vote? Here is the scoreboard again, as it would have appeared after all the televote points had been announced, and Norway had been confirmed as having won the televote.

1
Norway
291
14
Spain
53
2
The Netherlands
261
15
Denmark
51
3
Italy
253
16
Estonia
48
4
Russia
244
17
Albania
47
5
Switzerland
212
18
France
38
6
Iceland
186
19
Israel
35
7
Australia
131
20
Cyprus
32
8
Azerbaijan
100
21
Greece
24
9
Sweden
93
22
Malta
20
10
San Marino
65
23
Belarus
13
11
Slovenia
59
24
Czech Republic
7
12
North Macedonia
58
25
United Kingdom
3
13
Serbia
54
26
Germany
0

Afterwards Erez and Bar would have announced the jury totals for each of the 26 finalists, starting with the bottom 16 from 26th to 11th, in rapid succession, as follows. Once again, I have simulated the procedure by inserting the jury totals alongside the televoting totals into a spreadsheet and sorting it as each jury total was added. This is how I've been able to describe country movements on the scoreboard. To see all the simultaneous movements by multiple counties as each jury total would have been read out, one would need an animated graphic simulation of the scoreboard. Comments that Graham Norton might have said are shown in square brackets.

N.B. These are the corrected jury totals, which include the rectified set of "jury" points from Belarus.

0 points to Israel. (keeping them in 19th place for now)
1 point to Spain. (keeping them in 14th place for now) [That is such a shock]
8 points to the United Kingdom. (taking them to 24th place initially) [Ooh that's got to hurt, poor Michael Rice, that is awful, he's not done much better with the juries]
12 points to San Marino. (keeping them in 10th place for now) [So, whatever Germany and Czech Republic each get now, we're (the UK) going to end up last.]
18 points to Belarus. (taking them to 21st place initially)
24 points to Germany. (taking them to 23rd place initially) [So no-one is going home with nul points tonight]
28 points to Estonia. (taking them to 11th place initially)
35 points to Serbia. (taking them to 10th place initially)
40 points to Norway. (keeping them in the lead for now) [Well that changes everything, we won't be going to Norway next year]
43 points to Albania. (taking them to 10th place initially)
46 points to Iceland. (taking them to 5th place initially) [We won't be going to Iceland either]
46 points to Slovenia. (taking them to 8th place initially)
50 points to Greece. (taking them to 15th place initially)
67 points to France. (taking them to 9th place initially)
69 points to Denmark. (taking them to 8th place initially)
77 points to Cyprus. (taking them to 9th place initially)

The scoreboard would have looked like this after the bottom 16 jury totals were announced (countries which had already received their jury totals are in bold).

1
Norway
331
14
Albania
90
2
The Netherlands
261
15
Serbia
89
3
Italy
253
16
San Marino
77
4
Russia
244
17
Estonia
76
5
Iceland
232
18
Greece
74
6
Switzerland
212
19
North Macedonia
58
7
Australia
131
20
Spain
54
8
Denmark
120
21
Israel
35
9
Cyprus
109
22
Belarus
31
10
Slovenia
105
23
Germany
24
11
France
105
24
Malta
20
12
Azerbaijan
100
25
United Kingdom
11
13
Sweden
93
26
Czech Republic
7

The countries placed 10th to 4th would have been announced at a much slower pace. Erez and Bar would have (almost certainly) announced the recipients of the top ten jury totals alternately. Each time the applicable country's score would have been updated and repositioned on the scoreboard, and viewers would have seen a brief shot of the applicable artist in the Green Room.

The country that got the 10th highest score, with 87 points is Malta. (taking them to 10th place initially)

The country that got the 9th highest score, with 126 points is Russia, putting them in the lead. [It's probably not enough for a win though.] (Actually, it wouldn't have been enough to win; even if The Netherlands had been called next with 126 jury points their final score would have been 387, 17 points ahead of Russia.)

The country that got the 8th highest score, with 150 points is Czech Republic. (taking them to 7th place initially) [There you go, it's extraordinary how the juries liked that song. So, they've just gone from last place to 7th, but it does mean the UK is now last.]

The country that got the 7th highest score, with 152 points is Switzerland. (taking them to 2nd place initially) [A great final score for Switzerland there, but it's not enough to win.]

The country that got the 6th highest score, with 153 points is Australia. (taking them to 4th place initially)

The country that got the 5th highest score, with 202 points is Azerbaijan. (taking them to 4th place initially)

The country that got the 4th highest score, with 219 points is Italy, and now they're in the lead.

At this point the scoreboard would have looked like this (countries which had already received their jury totals are in bold):

1
Italy
472
14
France
105
2
Russia
370
15
Sweden
93
3
Switzerland
364
16
Albania
90
4
Norway
331
17
Serbia
89
5
Azerbaijan
302
18
San Marino
77
6
Australia
284
19
Estonia
76
7
The Netherlands
261
20
Greece
74
8
Iceland
232
21
North Macedonia
58
9
Czech Republic
157
22
Spain
54
10
Denmark
120
23
Israel
35
11
Cyprus
109
24
Belarus
31
12
Malta
107
25
Germany
24
13
Slovenia
105
26
United Kingdom
11

With just three countries (The Netherlands, Sweden, North Macedonia) still awaiting their jury points, Italy would have been currently in the lead with its final score of 472 points. Erez or Bar would have said "The winner can now be Italy, who are currently in the lead, or one of the three countries that haven't received their points from the national juries, that's The Netherlands, Sweden or North Macedonia". Green Room shots of the artists representing Italy, The Netherlands, Sweden and North Macedonia would have been shown in four on-screen windows before continuing.

Actually, it would have been mathematically impossible for Italy to have held its lead and won outright, because the minimum The Netherlands could have now received, from the juries, would have been 219 points, taking their final score to 480 points overall, thereby putting them ahead of Italy. That's a straightforward calculation (261 + 219 = 480) one could easily have done whilst awaiting the announcement of the next country and its actual score. However, whilst writing this, I've analysed this moment more deeply. There would have been 725 jury points remaining to share among The Netherlands, Sweden and North Macedonia, but each of them would have had to have received at least 219 points (just like Italy). If The Netherlands and North Macedonia had been the next two countries, both receiving 219 jury points, that would have left 287 jury points available to Sweden, taking their final total to 380 points, which would have been less than Italy now had. Alternatively, if The Netherlands and Sweden had been the next two countries, both receiving 219 jury points, that would have left 287 jury points available to North Macedonia, taking their final total to 345 points, which would have been less than Switzerland's final score. What all this boils down to, the only possible winner now would have been The Netherlands.

Of course, very few viewers (if any) would have known how many jury points were left for the remaining three countries at this point. Erez and Bar would have continued as follows.

The country that got the 3rd highest score, with 237 points is The Netherlands, putting them in the lead. So, the winner can be either The Netherlands, or one of the two countries that haven't received their points, Sweden or North Macedonia. [I think The Netherlands have won.]

Green Room shots of the artists representing The Netherlands, Sweden and North Macedonia would have been shown, left to right, across the screen, before continuing.

The country that got the 2nd highest score, with 241 points is Sweden (taking them to 5th place initially), which is not enough to pass The Netherlands.

The favourite, according to the national juries, is North Macedonia, but will they get enough points to pass The Netherlands, who are currently in the lead? North Macedonia now need 441 points or more to pass The Netherlands. [I don't think North Macedonia can do it; I doubt if there are anywhere near that many points left]. (Green Room shots of the artists representing The Netherlands and North Macedonia would have been shown, left to right, across the screen.) The juries gave North Macedonia 247 points, which is not enough to pass The Netherlands (this would have taken North Macedonia to 7th place). So, the winner of the Eurovision Song Contest 2019 is The Netherlands.

The final scoreboard would have looked like this:

1
The Netherlands
498
14
Malta
107
2
Italy
472
15
Slovenia
105
3
Russia
370
16
France
105
4
Switzerland
364
17
Albania
90
5
Sweden
334
18
Serbia
89
6
Norway
331
19
San Marino
77
7
North Macedonia
305
20
Estonia
76
8
Azerbaijan
302
21
Greece
74
9
Australia
284
22
Spain
54
10
Iceland
232
23
Israel
35
11
Czech Republic
157
24
Belarus
31
12
Denmark
120
25
Germany
24
13
Cyprus
109
26
United Kingdom
11

At this point individual countries would have been able to announce their own national jury points. Graham Norton would almost certainly have read out the UK's national jury results to UK viewers.

Overall, the time taken to announce the 41 sets of televoting points in the traditional manner, followed by the 26 finalists' jury totals (by either method) would have been about the same; in this case about 38 minutes for the 41 sets of televoting points and 11 minutes for the 26 jury voting totals. However, it's important to remember, that viewers voted by phone, text or app during the live grand final on Saturday 18 May 2019, whereas juries voted during the dress rehearsal the previous evening. A few minutes after the public voting lines closed, Jon Ola Sand stated that the EBU had a valid result from the 41 professional juries and, without further ado, the presentation of the jury results in the traditional manner began. However, the EBU must have needed more time to validate and verify the televoting results, especially votes cast in the last few minutes of the lines being open, which must have been done during the 38 minutes' presentation of the jury votes. Once all 41 spokespersons had announced the jury results, Jon Ola Sand stated that the televoting had gone according to plan, and the EBU had a 100% correct result, so the presentation of the televoting totals followed. Announcing the televoting scores in the traditional manner (by 41 spokespersons) first would have delayed the start of the scoring procedure considerably, when the interval was long enough as it was. It might have been necessary to have closed the voting lines as soon as Netta Barzilai finished performing "Nana Banana", so the time taken for Madonna's performance, and the filler during the removal of the steps thereafter, could have been used for the necessary verification of the public votes.

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Conclusion
This was the fourth time the two-part voting system first introduced in 2016 was used, and the first time of announcing the televoting totals starting with the country that received the lowest jury score and finishing with the country that received the highest jury score. Once again, it certainly produced some shocks and surprises, and plenty for keen fans to analyse well after the winner was announced. North Macedonia, Sweden and Czech Republic all received considerably more points on jury voting than on televoting. Conversely, Russia, Iceland and Norway all did considerably better in terms of points on televoting than on jury voting. One thing is certain, if the EBU keeps the same voting system next year and beyond, extreme disparities between jury and public voting will occur again.

2016 saw Australia win the jury voting (but finish just fourth in the televoting, and second overall), Russia win the televoting (but finish fifth place in the jury voting, and third overall), and Ukraine win outright after finishing second in both jury and televoting. That clearly demonstrated that winning one part of the voting (jury voting or televoting) and finishing fourth or fifth in the other may not be enough to win outright, especially if another country finishes second in both parts. This year saw North Macedonia win the jury voting (but finish just 12th in the televoting and 7th overall), and Norway win the televoting (but finish just 18th in the jury voting and 6th overall). Clearly, winning one half of the voting and placing much lower in the opposite half of the voting wasn't enough to finish in the top five this year. That said, North Macedonia won the jury voting with 247 points, and Norway won the televoting with 291 points. Both of those were rather low compared to the jury vote winning score and televote winning score in 2016 to 2018 inclusive. It's hardly surprising North Macedonia and Norway ended up below the top five. It's only a matter of time before a country wins one system (jury or televoting) with a record-breaking score for one set of points alone (388 or more) and finishes last with zero points in the other system.

Once again, as a UK citizen, I was naturally disappointed that the UK finished 24th with 8 points in the jury vote, 25th with 3 points in the public vote and 26th (last) with 11 points overall. Those were the UK's lowest jury vote total, televote total and overall total since the two-part voting system was introduced in 2016.

With all this in mind, after four years of this two-part voting system being used, I still like this system very much, and feel it's perfectly fair. I hope the EBU continues using this system in 2020 and beyond. The announcement of the televoting totals adds to the excitement of the scoring procedure; in fact, I think it's the highlight of the entire Grand Final. Mark my words, next year's Eurovision Song Contest will tell another story as far as the jury and public results are concerned.

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