Eurovision Song Contest Statistics 2014

Following Austria's second win this year, I've analysed the participating countries for the entire history of the Eurovision Song Contest. Some interesting statistics have emerged from this. You may click on one of the links below to jump to a particular section, or alternatively you may wish to read the whole document start to finish.

Fourteen Years Of Different Winners
Gaps Between Wins
Years Taken To First Win Eurovision Song Contest
Still Waiting For A First Win
When Will They Win Again?
How Many Wins?

Fourteen Years Of Different Winners

Firstly, it's interesting to see that since 2001, a different country has won each year.

2001 Estonia (1st)
2002 Latvia (1st)
2003 Turkey (1st)
2004 Ukraine (1st)
2005 Greece (1st)
2006 Finland (1st)
2007 Serbia (1st)
2008 Russia (1st)
2009 Norway (3rd)
2010 Germany (2nd)
2011 Azerbaijan (1st)
2012 Sweden (5th)
2013 Denmark (3rd)
2014 Austria (2nd)

Figures in brackets indicate the cumulative win for that country, e.g. in 2014 Austria won for the second time.

This means that from 2001 to 2014 inclusive, there has been a 14 year run of different winners. Notice also there was an eight year run of first-time winners from 2001 to 2008 inclusive.

How much longer will this trend of a different winner each year continue?

The record for the longest run of a different winner each year currently stands at 16 years (1996 to 2011 inclusive). It will take another two years of different winners not in the 2001 to 2014 run to bring the current run back to 16 years of different winners (2001 to 2016), and three years of different winners to beat the previous 16-year record. As you will see in the next few posts that could well happen.

Can the eight year run of first-time winners be beaten? It can, although it will take until 2023 to happen. Further interesting trivia follows in the next few sections.

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Gaps Between Wins

Austria won the Eurovision Song Contest 2014, having previously won in 1966. That means Austria now take the record for the longest gap between wins, 48 years (1966 - 2014). This beats the record previously held by Denmark, 37 years (1963 - 2000).

The following table shows the gaps between wins for every country that has won more than once. Where a country has won more than twice (and hence has more than one gap between wins), all gaps between wins for that country are shown. Ireland has won seven times to-date, and therefore has six entries in the table below.

The following table, and notes beneath it, ignore the fact that some countries missed one or more years between wins. Between Denmark's wins in 1963 and 2000, Denmark had a long absence 1967 to 1977 inclusive, and missed a few more years (1994, 1996, 1998, 2003) in the relegation era.

Country	Gap Between Wins	Year Range
Austria	1966 - 2014	48 years
Denmark	1963 - 2000	37 years
Switzerland	1956 - 1988	32 years
Germany	1982 - 2010	28 years
Italy	1964 - 1990	26 years
Israel	1979 - 1998	19 years
United Kingdom	1981 - 1997	16 years
Norway	1995 - 2009	14 years
Sweden	1999 - 2012	13 years
Denmark	2000 - 2013	13 years
The Netherlands	1959 - 1969	10 years
Ireland	1970 - 1980	10 years
Luxembourg	1973 - 1983	10 years
Sweden	1974 - 1984	10 years
Norway	1985 - 1995	10 years
France	1969 - 1977	8 years
Sweden	1991 - 1999	8 years
France	1962 - 1969	7 years
Luxembourg	1965 - 1972	7 years
United Kingdom	1969 - 1976	7 years
Ireland	1980 - 1987	7 years
Sweden	1984 - 1991	7 years
The Netherlands	1969 - 1975	6 years
United Kingdom	1976 - 1981	5 years
Ireland	1987 - 1992	5 years
Luxembourg	1961 - 1965	4 years
The Netherlands	1957 - 1959	2 years
France	1958 - 1960	2 years
France	1960 - 1962	2 years
United Kingdom	1967 - 1969	2 years
Ireland	1994 - 1996	2 years
Spain	1968 - 1969	1 year
Luxembourg	1972 - 1973	1 year
Israel	1978 - 1979	1 year
Ireland	1992 - 1993	1 year
Ireland	1993 - 1994	1 year

The new record for longest gap between wins, 48 years will now take until at least 2018 to be broken; if Spain now take until 2018 to win again it will have had 49 years gap between wins (1969 - 2018).

If any of the following four countries win next year, they will have the second longest gap between wins:
Spain 46 years (1969 - 2015)
Monaco 44 years (1971 - 2015) (that is, if Monaco returns next year)
The Netherlands 40 years (1975 - 2015)
France 38 years (1977 - 2015)

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Years Taken To First Win Eurovision Song Contest

Here are all the 26 countries that have won the Eurovision Song Contest at least once. Notice the number of years from first ever entry to first win varies considerably. Finland currently holds the record for longest wait for a first win: 45 years, i.e. they first won in 2006, 45 years after their first ever song in 1961. Serbia currently holds the record for shortest wait for a first win (see footnote for more though). The most recent first-time winner Azerbaijan (2011) had a short wait: 3 years after their debut entry in 2008.

Country	First Entry	First Win	Years After First Entry
Finland	1961	2006	45
Greece	1974	2005	31
Belgium	1956	1986	30
Yugoslavia	1961	1989	28
Turkey	1975	2003	28
Germany	1956	1982	26
Norway	1960	1985	25
Sweden	1958	1974	16
Russia	1994	2008	14
Monaco	1959	1971	12
United Kingdom	1957	1967	10
Austria	1957	1966	9
Italy	1956	1964	8
Spain	1961	1968	7
Estonia	1994	2001	7
Denmark	1957	1963	6
Luxembourg	1956	1961	5
Ireland	1965	1970	5
Israel	1973	1978	5
Azerbaijan	2008	2011	3
France	1956	1958	2
Latvia	2000	2002	2
The Netherlands	1956	1957	1
Ukraine	2003	2004	1
Switzerland[1]	1956	1956	0
Serbia	2007	2007	0

[1] The debut Eurovision Song Contest in 1956 was the only year each country was able to enter two songs.  Switzerland's second song of the night "Refrain" won the 1956 Contest, therefore their first ever song did not win.  Consequently, from 1956 to 2006, no country won with its first ever song.

Serbia thus became the first country to win with its first ever song (as an independent nation), which is why they had a shorter wait for their first win than Switzerland. It could be argued that Serbia previously participated as part of Serbia and Montenegro (2004), and part of Yugoslavia (1974, 1982, 1991, 1992). However on those occasions, the songs represented the whole of Serbia and Montenegro / Yugoslavia, not just Serbia itself. 2007 was the first year that Serbia's song just represented Serbia.

If Liechtenstein enters in the future, and wins with its first ever song, it could be said to have an even shorter wait for a first win having not previously entered as part of a larger country which no longer exists.

It's worth bearing in mind that the above list ignores the fact that some countries missed a few years in their history. For example, Finland first won in 2006, 45 years after its first entry in 1961. However it missed the Contests of 1970, 1995, 1997, 1999, 2001 and 2003.

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Still Waiting For A First Win

Now for the countries which have yet to achieve their first win:

N.B. Each country's debut year is shown after its name. Estonia, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia entered the 1993 qualifying round Kvalifikacija za Millstreet in Ljubljana, Slovenia, on 3 April 1993, but didn't qualify for the 1993 Eurovision Song Contest, and thus their debut year is officially recognised as 1994. F.Y.R. Macedonia entered the audio qualifier for the 1996 Eurovision Song Contest, but failed to qualify, and thus their debut year is officially recognised as 1998. However since the advent of semi-finals in 2004, the debut year is the year they first appeared in the semi-final, whether or not they qualified to the final that year.

Long Time Runners (pre-2000)

Country	First Entry	Years Since First Entry
Portugal	1964	50
Malta	1971	43
Morocco	1980	34
Cyprus	1981	33
Iceland	1986	28
Slovenia	1993	21
Bosnia & Herzegovina	1993	21
Croatia	1993	21
Romania	1994	20
Slovakia	1994	20
Lithuania	1994	20
Hungary	1994	20
Poland	1994	20
F.Y.R. Macedonia	1998	16

That's 14 countries altogether. One significant subset is the seven who debuted in 1994; Estonia won in 2001 and Russia won in 2008, therefore 5 of the 7 who first entered in 1994 have yet to achieve their first win. Interestingly Estonia and Russia had their first ever wins 7 and 14 years respectively (i.e. multiples of 7 years) after their debut entry in 1994. Does this mean an increased likelihood that Romania, Slovakia, Lithuania, Hungary or Poland will have its first win in 2015, i.e. 21 years after 1994? Another interesting group are the three ex-Yugoslav countries which debuted in 1993; 21 years on and none of those three have won yet. If one of each of the above countries wins every year, it will take 14 years for them all to win once (if Morocco ever makes a comeback).

If Portugal enters and wins next year, it will have taken 51 years to achieve its first win, which will snatch the record for longest wait for a first win from Finland (45 years). My advice to Portugal, try singing in English; it might then stand a chance.

If any of the following three countries enter next year and win, they will have the second longest wait for a first win:
Malta 44 years (1971 - 2015)
Morocco 35 years (1980 - 2015)
Cyprus 34 years (1981 - 2015)

Will Morocco ever return to the Eurovision Song Contest? If they enter, reach the final and win next year, they will have the second longest wait for a first win: 35 years (1980 - 2015). However they will also have the longest gap between entries: 35 years. Bizarrely though, they will have won on only their second attempt (just like Ukraine in 2004)!

Recent Newcomers (since 2004)

Since the introduction of semi-finals in 2004, 13 new countries have entered the Eurovision Song Contest from 2004 onwards. The most recent were Azerbaijan and San Marino in 2008. Of the 13 which debuted since 2004, Serbia won in 2007 (the very first time it entered as Serbia) and Azerbaijan won in 2011 (3 years after first entering in 2008). The other 11 countries from this group are still waiting for their first win:

Country	First Entry	Years Since First Entry
Belarus	2004	10
Andorra[2]	2004	10
Albania	2004	10
Serbia & Montenegro[3]	2004	10
Moldova	2005	9
Bulgaria	2005	9
Armenia	2006	8
Georgia	2007	7
Montenegro	2007	7
Czech Republic[2]	2007	7
San Marino	2008	6

[2] Never qualified to final

[3] Nation no longer exists

How long will it be before any of the countries in this group have their first win? Now that Serbia-Montenegro no longer exists as a joint country, that leaves 10 countries in this group, and thus it will take at least 10 years for them to win once each. Notice that two countries in this group, Andorra and Czech Republic have still never qualified to the final.

Taking the two groups together, that's 24 countries still waiting for their first ever win. So you see, it's quite possible for the eight year run of first-time winners (2001 to 2008) to be beaten (2015 to 2023 and beyond). Furthermore, first time wins for each of these countries during forthcoming years will continue the trend of a different winner each year since 2001.

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When Will They Win Again?

As I've already explained, Austria's 2014 win has resulted in a 14 year run of a different country winning each year from 2001 to 2014 inclusive, and Austria taking the record for longest gap between wins, 48 years (1966 - 2014). Furthermore Austria's 2014 win means the country which has been waiting the longest to win again (since 1966) has finally achieved its second victory at last. Thus Spain is now the latest country that has had the longest time span since its last win in 1969.

Prior to 2001, Sweden won in 1999 and Denmark won in 2000; both of whom have since won again in 2012 and 2013 respectively. To determine the old-timers that haven't won in ages, you need to go back to 1998 (the year before Sweden's 1999 win) and work backwards. Altogether, I've found 12 countries that last won in 1998 or earlier still waiting to win again. Note that one of them Yugoslavia no longer exists, so that leaves 11 countries.

Country	Last Win	Years Since Last Win
Spain	1969	45
Monaco	1971	43
The Netherlands	1975	39
France	1977	37
Luxembourg	1983	31
Belgium	1986	28
Switzerland	1988	26
Yugoslavia[4]	1989	25
Italy	1990	24
Ireland	1996	18
United Kingdom	1997	17
Israel	1998	16

[4] Nation no longer exists

If Italy continues to participate and wins next year, it will have had 25 years gap between wins (1990 - 2015).

Luxembourg last entered in 1993. Will it ever return? If it does come back and win next year, it will have had 32 years gap between wins (1983 - 2015).

Monaco was absent from Eurovision from 1980 to 2003 inclusive. 2004 to 2006 inclusive it entered but failed to qualify from the semi-finals. Since 2007 it has been absent again. Will it return in 2015, and if so will it qualify to the final for the first time since the introduction of semi-finals in 2004? If returns, reaches the final and wins, it will have had 44 years gap between wins (1971 to 2015).

If any one of the above countries wins next year, it will extend the current run of a different country winning each year by one year, i.e. 2001 to 2015 inclusive. With 11 countries which haven't won for at least 16 years (1998 or earlier), plus 24 countries still waiting for their first ever win, the current trend of a different winner each year (since 2001) is likely to continue for several years to come.

Recent Winners

Now for the countries whose last win was in the current 14 year run of different winning countries each year; i.e. Estonia 2001 to Austria 2014 inclusive. Although I've described this group as "recent" winners, it's already quite a long time since some of them last won; 10 years plus in the case of Ukraine, Turkey, Latvia and Estonia.

Country	Last Win	Years Since Last Win
Estonia	2001	13
Latvia	2002	12
Turkey	2003	11
Ukraine	2004	10
Greece	2005	9
Finland	2006	8
Serbia	2007	7
Russia	2008	6
Norway	2009	5
Germany	2010	4
Azerbaijan	2011	3
Sweden	2012	2
Denmark	2013	1
Austria	2014	0

If Estonia wins next year, it will keep the run of a different winning country each year the same as now, 14 years (2002 to 2015).

If any of the countries that last won in 2002 or later win next year, the run of different winning countries each year will be reduced accordingly. For example, if Latvia win next year, one will need to start the new list at Turkey 2003 and finish with Latvia 2015, i.e. a 13 year run of a different winning country each year.

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How Many Wins?

Finally here is a table showing how many times each country has ever won the Eurovision Song Contest from 1956 to 2014 inclusive.

Country	Number Of Wins
Albania	0
Andorra	0
Armenia	0
Austria	2
Azerbaijan	1
Belarus	0
Belgium	1
Bosnia & Herzegovina	0
Bulgaria	0
Croatia	0
Cyprus	0
Czech Republic	0
Denmark	3
Estonia	1
F.Y.R. Macedonia	0
Finland	1
France	5
Georgia	0
Germany	2
Greece	1
Hungary	0
Iceland	0
Ireland	7
Israel	3
Italy	2
Latvia	1
Lithuania	0
Luxembourg	5
Malta	0
Moldova	0
Monaco	1
Montenegro	0
Morocco	0
Norway	3
Poland	0
Portugal	0
Romania	0
Russia	1
San Marino	0
Serbia	1
Serbia & Montenegro	0
Slovakia	0
Slovenia	0
Spain	2
Sweden	5
Switzerland	2
The Netherlands	4
Turkey	1
Ukraine	1
United Kingdom	5
Yugoslavia	1

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